FERTILITY AND MORTALITY TRENDS ON COLONIAL KILIMANJARO

从目前以电子表格形式记录的6个天主教和5个路德教会在乞力马扎罗山的任务的令人惊讶的完整和广泛的代表性记录中，详细描述了从1897年到1961年坦桑尼亚独立的605个多代家庭和超过11,000人的死亡，将建立一个数据库，进行验证和分析。这项分析将需要计算生育率、不孕症和死亡率参数，并在该区域较早描述的社会和经济史范围内计算这些参数的情况。从殖民地乞力马扎罗山所处的人口历史中，将有可能更好地了解目前生育率和理想家庭规模有希望的下降是何时和为什么发生的，并将目前的死亡率模式纳入整个区域历史。此外，通过对乞力马扎罗山殖民地不同时期的生育率和死亡率的描述，以及殖民地健康发展项目历史上这些变化的情况，有可能评估这些项目的相对成功或失败，并为今天坦桑尼亚人民的健康和计划生育项目提供一些见解。他们中有相当大比例的人在独立前还活着，他们记得殖民时期的卫生干预措施，并从过去的角度看待现在。

From the surprisingly complete and broadly representative records now in spreadsheet form of 6 Catholic and 5 Lutheran missions on Kilimanjaro, detailing 605 multi-generational families and greater than 11,000 deaths, from 1897 to Tanzanian Independence in 1961, a database will be constructed, verified and analyzed. The analysis will entail the calculation of fertility, infertility, and mortality parameters and the situation of the calculations within an earlier delineated social and economic history of the region. From the situated demographic history of colonial Kilimanjaro, it will be possible to better understand when and why the current hopeful decreases in fertility and desired family size have occurred and to incorporate the current mortality patterns within the sweep of regional history. Furthermore, with the delineation of fertility and mortality at different periods for colonial Kilimanjaro and the situation of those changes within the history of colonial health development programs, it may be possible to assess the relative success or failure of those programs and provide some insight for health and family planning programs for the Tanzania s people today, a significant percentage of whom were alive prior to independence and remember the colonial health interventions and read the present through the lens of the past.