STORMS: Strategies and Tools for Resilience of Buried Infrastructure to Meteorological Shocks

地下基础设施系统易受气象冲击或极端天气事件的影响，如极端降水造成的洪水和干旱以及极端气温。这些事件可能导致土壤移动，热收缩和膨胀，以及天坑等问题。尽管情况紧急，但我们的社会还没有为这些冲击对地下基础设施的影响做好充分准备。我们对风险在哪里以及风险有多大的理解仍然很差，因为现有的风险评估工具没有全面考虑洪水和地下湿度/温度变化的影响。英国的地下基础设施能在多大程度上科普重大天气事件或“冲击”，目前还不清楚。该项目旨在为地下基础设施（包括对城市和城市生活至关重要的电缆和管道）制定一个全面的与天气有关的风险评估框架。该框架将用于了解天气事件和气候变化对这些基础设施的潜在影响。项目团队还将与利益攸关方共同制定适应措施，以提高对这些极端事件的抵御能力。这一目标将通过五个相互关联的一揽子工作来实现。这包括：1）创建水文条件的大规模建模方法; 2）确定当前和未来对地下基础设施构成风险的水文和气象情景; 3）采用先进的流体动力学建模和脆弱性分析，以了解地下管道和电缆如何应对各种条件; 4）整合已开发的模型和数据集，以进行全面的风险评估; 5）与利益相关者共同制定复原力和适应战略。该项目预计将产生重大的社会和经济影响。通过提高基础设施运营商和公用事业公司的决策能力，该研究可以减少服务中断，节省潜在的成本，并提高基础设施系统在面对气象冲击和气候变化时的弹性。该项目利用了多个机构的专业知识，包括伯明翰大学，英国生态和水文中心，英国地质调查局，解决一个关键的挑战-地下基础设施对气象冲击的适应能力，通过利用对模型，设施和国家数据集的重大投资来证明资金的卓越价值。这项研究计划的预期成果，包括将在DAFNI平台上提供的工具和数据，有望产生长期价值。

Buried infrastructure systems are vulnerable to meteorological shocks or extreme weather events, such as floods and droughts due to extreme precipitation, as well as extreme temperatures. Such events can lead to soil movement, thermal contraction and expansion, and sinkholes, among other problems. Despite the urgency, our society is not well prepared for the impacts of these shocks on buried infrastructure. Our understanding of where the risk is and how much it is remains poor, because existing risk assessment tools do not comprehensively consider impacts from both flood water and subsurface moisture/temperature variations. The extent to which the UK's buried infrastructure can cope with a significant weather event, or 'shock', is unclear. Such understanding is crucial for developing effective resilience strategies.This project aims to develop a comprehensive weather-related risk assessment framework for buried infrastructure, which include cables and pipes vital to cities and urban lives. The framework will be applied to understand the potential impacts of weather events and climate change on these infrastructures. The project team will also co-develop adaptation measures with stakeholders to increase resilience to these extreme events. The aim will be accomplished through five interrelated work packages. This includes 1) creating a broad-scale modelling methodology for hydrological conditions; 2) identifying current and future hydrological and meteorological scenarios posing risks to buried infrastructure; 3) employing advanced hydrodynamic modelling and vulnerability analysis to understand how buried pipes and cables respond to varying conditions; 4) integrating the developed models and datasets for a comprehensive risk assessment, and 5) co-developing resilience and adaptation strategies with stakeholders.The project is expected to deliver significant societal and economic impacts. By enhancing decision-making capabilities among infrastructure operators and utility companies, the research can lead to fewer service disruptions, potential cost savings, and increased resilience of infrastructure systems in the face of meteorological shocks and climate change.The project leverages expertise across multiple institutions, including the University of Birmingham, UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, and British Geological Survey, to address a critical challenge - the resilience of buried infrastructure to meteorological shocks, demonstrating excellent value for money by capitalising on significant investments in models, facilities, and national datasets. The anticipated outcome of this research program, including the tools and data that will be made available on the DAFNI platform, promises long-term value.