Understanding the extent, causes, consequences and future of population decline in Europe

该项目旨在加强我们对31个欧洲国家未来人口下降的原因、基础因素和潜在后果的理解。该项目的目标尤其是：--在国家和国家以下各级建立人口变化的直接决定因素(生育率、死亡率和移徙)和广泛的社会经济因素(如人口构成、女性劳动力参与率和失业率)的综合数据库；--确定欧洲31个国家人口下降的程度、普遍程度和时间；--查明欧洲国家人口下降的主要原因，并确定人口下降程度和原因的次国家差异；--对最有可能发生人口变化的情景进行国家和国家以下各级的人口预测。

This project seeks to enhance our understanding of the causes, underpinning factors and potential consequences of future population decline across 31 European countries. Particularly, this project aims to:- Build a comprehensive database of the proximate determinants of population change (fertility, mortality and migration) and a wide range of socio-economic factors (e.g. population composition, female labour force participation and unemployment rate) at the national and sub-national levels;- Establish the extent, prevalence and timing of population decline in 31 countries in Europe;- Identify the dominant cause of population decline in European countries, and determine sub-national variations in the extent and causes of population decline;- Generate national and sub-national population projections for the most likely scenarios of population change.