Modelling the reconfiguration of acute and community health services

该博士研究生将在支持CVUHB的“塑造我们的未来福祉”方面发挥关键作用，这是一项雄心勃勃的10年全系统计划，旨在改善他们的服务。该计划的核心是希望在“家庭第一”的方法基础上实现联合护理，使卡迪夫和淡水河谷的公民感到对自己的健康负责，从而避免服务中的伤害、浪费和变化，使其在未来更加高效和可持续。运筹学（OR）方法已经成功地应用于一系列健康和福利服务，这个博士学位是一个令人兴奋的机会，可以开发新颖的全系统OR模型和方法，帮助创造持久的影响，从而为患者和公众提供真正重要的结果。作为10年计划的一部分，CVUHB需要在整个地区、现有社区环境或通过创建新的中心来转移一系列服务。这将对医疗保健系统的运作方式、能力规划、路径结构以及运输和物流运作产生重大影响。建模如何动态的医疗保健系统将改变是实现战略的一个基本步骤，将是这个创新博士的重点。具体而言，您将：通过分析如何满足这些需求以及为确保卫生保健系统在未来满足这些需求需要做些什么来评估人口健康需求；建立随机手术室决策支持工具，对患者流动和服务设计进行动态和地理空间建模；使用开发的模型执行成本效益评估，并就如何优化配置服务提出建议。

This PhD studentship will play a pivotal role in supporting CVUHB's "Shaping Our Future Wellbeing", an ambitious 10-year, system-wide plan that is set to transform their services for the better. At the heart of the plan is the desire to achieve joined-up care based upon a 'home first' approach, empowering Cardiff and Vale citizens to feel responsible for their own health, and thus avoiding harm, waste and variation in services to make them more efficient and sustainable for the future.Operational Research (OR) approaches have been successfully applied to a range of health and wellbeing services, and this PhD studentship is an exciting opportunity to develop novel system-wide OR models and approaches to help create a lasting impact that will deliver outcomes that really matter to patients and the public. As part of the 10-year plan, CVUHB need to move a range of services across the region, within existing community settings or by creating new hubs. This has major implications on the way the healthcare system will function, how capacity is planned, how pathways are structured, and transport and logistics operate. Modelling how the dynamics of the healthcare system will change is a fundamental step to realising the strategy and will be the focus of this innovative PhD. Specifically, you will:Assess the population health needs by carrying out an analysis on how these are met and what is required to ensure the healthcare system meets them in the future;Build stochastic OR decision-support tools that model patient flows and service design both dynamically and geospatially;Use the developed models to perform cost-benefit evaluations and to make recommendations on how to optimally configure services.