The material-energy nexus: incorporating energy conservation into material flow analysis models

2006年以来欧洲常规石油供应(产量+进口量)和2005年以来欧洲天然气供应量(27欧元+挪威)的减少，加上日益严重的气候变化问题，正在推动寻找替代能源，这需要我们有限的材料储备来建立很大一部分，如果不是更多的话。在我的项目期间，我们将仔细研究我们的物质资源与通过可再生能源技术满足我们的能源需求所需的数量之间的相对规模，以指导未来的长期能源发展。更具体地说，我研究物质和能量流动，以及解释与之相关的不确定性的方法。我的项目的目的是开发一个框架，使人们能够很好地了解不确定性及其影响，提供更透明的结果，以便更好地制定政策。特别关注与能源过渡有关的材料的供应和需求，这代表了物质流动分析(MFA)和能源系统建模(ESM)之间的接口。

The decrease in conventional oil supply (production+imports) since 2006, and that of natural gas since 2005 in Europe (EU27+Norway) coupled with the growing problem of climate change are fuelling the search for alternative energy sources, which require much of, if not more than, our limited material reserves to build. The relative size of our material resources compared to the amounts required to satisfy our energy demand via renewable energy technologies will be studied carefully during my project to guide future long term energy resource developments. More specifically, I study material and energy flows, and methods to account for uncertainties associated to them. The aim of my project is to develop a framework which enables uncertainties and their effects to be well understood, providing more transparent results on which better policymaking can be based. There is a particular focus on the supply and demand of materials relevant to the energy transition which represent the interface between material flow analysis (MFA) and energy system modelling (ESM).