Social and Economic Effects of a Natural Disaster

简介（由申请人提供）：2004年12月26日，印度洋发生强烈地震和海啸，给整个地区沿海地区造成严重破坏。全世界的伤亡人数接近25万人。大多数死亡发生在印度尼西亚，这是本项目的重点。我们有三个目标。首先，利用灾害前后收集的纵向调查数据，我们将记录灾害对死亡率、家庭破裂和搬迁、身心健康以及经济资源的直接和中期后果。其次，我们将追踪灾后生活和生计的重建，关注亲属关系和社会网络、经济资源、社区复原力以及接受和利用外部援助的作用。第三，将海啸视为不可预见的，我们将确定与减轻灾难后果有关的个人、家庭和社区的特点。我们的研究结果将确定低收入人群中最容易受到自然灾害长期负面影响的群体。为了实现我们的目标，我们将根据对苏门答腊岛上两个受灾省份的采访，收集和分析丰富的纵向数据集。这一探索性项目力求在编制科学可靠的数据以了解重大自然灾害对人口健康和福祉的影响方面开辟新天地。这个项目的数据将被置于公共领域。在这个项目中，我们将提供2004年12月26日海啸对健康、死亡率以及其他社会和经济后果的估计。我们将确定受打击最严重的个人的特征。这些结果对于设计针对这次危机和未来自然灾害的有效救济工作至关重要。

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): On December 26, 2004 a massive earthquake and tsunami in the Indian Ocean wreaked havoc on coastal areas throughout the region. Casualties stand at nearly 250,000 worldwide. The majority of deaths occurred in Indonesia, the focus of this project. We have three goals. First, using longitudinal survey data collected before and after the disaster, we will document the immediate and intermediate consequences for mortality, family disruption and relocation, physical and mental health, and economic resources. Second, we will trace the reconstruction of lives and livelihoods in the aftermath of the disaster, paying attention to the roles of kinship and social networks, economic resources, community resilience, and receipt and leveraging of external aid. Third, treating the tsunami as unanticipated, we will identify the characteristics of individuals, households and communities that are associated with mitigating the consequences of the disaster. Our results will identify the groups in low income populations that are likely to be the most vulnerable to longer- term negative consequences of natural disasters. To accomplish our goals we will assemble, collect and analyze a rich longitudinal data set based on interviews in the two disaster-stricken provinces on the island of Sumatra. This exploratory project seeks to break new ground in producing scientifically sound data for understanding the impact of a major natural disaster on the health and well-being of a population. The data for this project will be placed in the public domain. In this project we will provide estimates of consequences of the December 26, 2004 tsunami for health, mortality, and other social and economic outcomes. We will identify the characteristics of the individuals who were hardest hit. These results are essential for designing effective relief efforts for this crisis and for future natural disasters.