Accurate Prediction of Safe Life of Buried Pipelines

埋地管道的失效是灾难性的，会造成严重的后果和破坏。由于对管道失效的基本因果关系没有充分认识，因而无法可靠地预测管道的安全寿命，因此管道失效事故经常发生。本研究的目的是基于对管道行为和失效机制的基本分析以及可靠性方法，开发一种新的管道失效预测理论。结果将是一套模型和解决方案，将推进退化科学和失效理论的知识。它们将为全球埋地管道的智能管理提供可持续的解决方案。

Failures of buried pipes are disastrous, causing severe consequences and disruptions. They often reoccur because the fundamental cause-effect relation for pipe failures has not been fully understood and hence the safe life of pipelines cannot be reliably predicted. The aim of this research is to develop a new theory to predict pipe failures, based on a fundamental analysis of pipe behaviour and failure mechanisms and a reliability approach. The outcomes will be a suite of models and solutions that will advance knowledge in deterioration science and failure theory. They will provide a sustainable solution to the intelligent management of buried pipelines throughout the world.