A microscopic approach for the behavioural analysis of sustainable modes of transportation

加拿大道路上的道路死亡费用估计约为每年630亿美元。非机动道路使用者所承担的费用往往被低估。大约，行人和骑自行车的人占碰撞致死人数的15%。此外，行人和骑自行车的人在发生道路碰撞时面临更高的受伤和死亡风险。例如，与行人有关的碰撞仅占总碰撞的2%，但它们造成的死亡人数约为总死亡人数的7倍。据估计，骑自行车的人受重伤的风险是汽车乘客和司机的70倍。文献中已经认识到行人和骑自行车者碰撞的少报。以前的数据很可能只反映了加拿大行人和骑自行车者面临的部分碰撞风险。不幸的是，这种沉重的代价与行人和骑自行车者导向的安全处理的安全影响的精确工程知识不匹配。本研究的任务是开发新的安全分析技术，并调查几种安全处理的安全影响。

The cost of road fatalities on Canadian roads is estimated to be approximately $63 billion/year. The cost borne by non-motorized road users is often underestimated. Approximately, pedestrians and cyclists constitute 15% collision-induced fatalities. In addition, pedestrians and cyclists face an elevated risk of injury and death when involved in road collisions. For example, pedestrian-involved collisions constitute only 2% of total collision, however they make up approximately 7 times more of total fatalities. The risk of serious injury for cyclists is estimated to be up to 70 times more than auto passengers and drivers. Underreporting of pedestrian- and cyclist-involved collisions has been recognized in the literature. It is likely that previous figures reflect only a part of the risk of collision facing pedestrians and cyclists in Canada. Unfortunately, this heavy toll is not matched with precise engineering knowledge of the safety implications of pedestrian- and cyclist-oriented safety treatments. This research is a mission to develop novel safety analysis techniques and investigate the safety implications of several safety treatments. Besides safety issues, the proposed research focuses on pedestrian modelling. This topic has not received due focus in a Canadian context. The practical contexts in Canadian environment include crowd management, evacuation studies, and efficient design of urban spaces. The proposed model moves a step forward from the literature by focusing on the decision mechanism that controls pedestrians' movements. The proposed research will also address one of the fundamental weaknesses in the literature by focusing on model calibration and rigorous validation. The combined outcome of the proposed research programs will be precise understanding of the safety of non-motorized modes and more reliable pedestrian models.