Localized Climate Projection and Analysis software

塞尔柯克学院自1966年以来一直在公元前东南部提供创新的学习机会。塞尔柯克学院拥有70多个国家认可的课程，每年为六个农村社区的2700多名全日制学习者提供服务。Selkirk Innovates从事跨学科社会科学和技术研究，20多年来投入巨资开发地理空间和数字制造技术方面的专业知识，推动社会创新研究，并正在整合医疗保健创新和先进计算领域的新兴研究专业知识。这个ARD项目由Selkirk Innovates的高级计算团队领导，他们使用机器学习分析和技术、机器视觉以及科学和计算建模来解决工业问题。Selkirk Innovates和项目合作伙伴气候资源咨询公司(CRC)最近合作了一个研究项目，该项目涉及使用卷积神经网络降低全球气候数据的尺度。该项目将在儿童权利中心缩小规模的全球气候数据和统计推断能力的基础上，增加一个新的“本地化气候预测和分析”软件界面，为埃德蒙顿市的其他项目合作伙伴提供一个能够进行气候适应规划的针对区域的、便于用户使用的软件门户。这一工具将使《儿童权利公约》能够促进对各种社区资产超过关键气候阈值的可能性进行定量估计，从而能够以数据驱动的方法确定社区基础设施和业务的气候适应措施的优先次序。儿童权利中心和埃德蒙顿市将能够探索将阈值超越概率方法应用于资产管理结构和业务中的各种应用。无论是应用于简单的(如临界温度阈值)还是复杂的(如预算阈值)情景，制定一种更定量的风险评估方法将有助于更好地了解未来气候变化的潜在影响，并将有助于确定适应措施的优先次序。如果成功，这一LCAP工具和方法可以应用于全国各地的社区和组织，从而获得可观的环境和经济效益。

Selkirk College has been providing innovative learning opportunities in Southeastern BC since 1966. Selkirk College is home to 70+ nationally recognized programs serving more than 2,700 full-time learners per year in six rural communities. Selkirk Innovates engages in interdisciplinary social science and technical research and has invested heavily over 20 years to develop expertise in geospatial and digital manufacturing technology, to advance social innovation research, and is integrating emerging research expertise in health care innovation and advanced computing. This ARD project is led by Selkirk Innovates' Advanced Computing team, who solve industrial problems using machine learning analyses and techniques, machine vision, as well as scientific and computational modelling. Selkirk Innovates and project partner Climatic Resources Consulting (CRC) recently collaborated on a research project involving the downscaling of global climate data using convolutional neural networks. The project will layer a novel "Localized Climate Projection and Analysis (LCap)" software interface over downscaled global climate data and statistical inference capability at CRC, providing additional project partner, the City of Edmonton, with a regionally-specific and user-friendly software portal enabling climate adaption planning. This tool will allow CRC to facilitate quantitative estimates of the probability of exceedance of critical climate thresholds for a wide range of community assets, enabling a data-driven approach for the prioritization of climate adaptation measures for community infrastructure and operations. CRC and the City of Edmonton will be able to explore the application of the threshold exceedance probability approach to a variety of applications in asset management structures and operations. Whether applied to simple (e.g., critical temperature thresholds) or complex (e.g., budgetary thresholds) scenarios, the development of a more quantitative approach to assessing risks will lead to a better understanding of the potential impacts of future climate change and will facilitate the prioritization of adaptation measures. If successful, this LCap tool and approach could be applied to communities and organizations across the country to considerable environmental and economic benefit.