The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change.

The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change.
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DOI:
10.1038/s41558-021-01058-x
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发表时间:
2021-06
影响因子:
30.7
通讯作者:
Gasparrini A
Gasparrini A
中科院分区:
地球科学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Vicedo-Cabrera AM;Scovronick N;Sera F;Royé D;Schneider R;Tobias A;Astrom C;Guo Y;Honda Y;Hondula DM;Abrutzky R;Tong S;de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho M;Saldiva PHN;Lavigne E;Correa PM;Ortega NV;Kan H;Osorio S;Kyselý J;Urban A;Orru H;Indermitte E;Jaakkola JJK;Ryti N;Pascal M;Schneider A;Katsouyanni K;Samoli E;Mayvaneh F;Entezari A;Goodman P;Zeka A;Michelozzi P;de'Donato F;Hashizume M;Alahmad B;Diaz MH;De La Cruz Valencia C;Overcenco A;Houthuijs D;Ameling C;Rao S;Ruscio FD;Carrasco-Escobar G;Seposo X;Silva S;Madureira J;Holobaca IH;Fratianni S;Acquaotta F;Kim H;Lee W;Iniguez C;Forsberg B;Ragettli MS;Guo YLL;Chen BY;Li S;Armstrong B;Aleman A;Zanobetti A;Schwartz J;Dang TN;Dung DV;Gillett N;Haines A;Mengel M;Huber V;Gasparrini A

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气候变化会影响人类健康;但是,没有进行大规模的系统努力来量化由于气候变化而导致的与热有关的人类健康影响。在这里,我们使用来自43个国家 /地区732个地点的经验数据来估计与1991 - 2018年期间,最近由人类引起的变暖导致的额外热暴露相关的死亡负担。在所有研究国家中,我们发现37.0%(20.5-76.3%)的暖季热量死亡可以归因于人为的气候变化,并且在每个大陆上都有明显的死亡率。在地理上,负担各不相同,但在许多地方每年的死亡人数达到数十至数百人。我们的发现支持迫切需要进行更雄心勃勃的缓解和适应策略,以最大程度地减少气候变化的公共卫生影响。
Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991-2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5-76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.
DOI: 10.1002/sim.5471
发表时间: 2012-12-20
影响因子: 2
作者:
Gasparrini, A.;Armstrong, B.;Kenward, M. G.
通讯作者: Kenward, M. G.
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2274-3
发表时间: 2018-10
期刊: Climatic change
影响因子: 4.8
作者:
Vicedo-Cabrera AM;Guo Y;Sera F;Huber V;Schleussner CF;Mitchell D;Tong S;de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho M;Saldiva PHN;Lavigne E;Correa PM;Ortega NV;Kan H;Osorio S;Kyselý J;Urban A;Jaakkola JJK;Ryti NRI;Pascal M;Goodman PG;Zeka A;Michelozzi P;Scortichini M;Hashizume M;Honda Y;Hurtado-Diaz M;Cruz J;Seposo X;Kim H;Tobias A;Íñiguez C;Forsberg B;Åström DO;Ragettli MS;Röösli M;Guo YL;Wu CF;Zanobetti A;Schwartz J;Bell ML;Dang TN;Van DD;Heaviside C;Vardoulakis S;Hajat S;Haines A;Armstrong B;Ebi KL;Gasparrini A
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影响因子: 5.4
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通讯作者: Gasparrini, Antonio
检测并将健康负担归因于气候变化。
DOI: 10.1289/ehp1509
发表时间: 2017-08-07
影响因子: 10.4
作者:
Ebi KL;Ogden NH;Semenza JC;Woodward A
通讯作者: Woodward A
DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(14)62114-0
发表时间: 2015-07-25
期刊: Lancet (London, England)
影响因子: --
作者:
Gasparrini A;Guo Y;Hashizume M;Lavigne E;Zanobetti A;Schwartz J;Tobias A;Tong S;Rocklöv J;Forsberg B;Leone M;De Sario M;Bell ML;Guo YL;Wu CF;Kan H;Yi SM;de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho M;Saldiva PH;Honda Y;Kim H;Armstrong B
通讯作者: Armstrong B