A system dynamics simulation model for water conflicts in the Zhanghe River Basin, China

A system dynamics simulation model for water conflicts in the Zhanghe River Basin, China
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漳河流域水冲突系统动力学模拟模型

DOI:
10.1080/07900627.2021.1873107
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发表时间:
2021-02
影响因子:
3.1
通讯作者:
Xia Wu
Xia Wu
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Liang Yuan;Weijun He;Dagmawi Mulugeta Degefu;Zhongchi Wan;Thomas Stephen Ramsey;Xia Wu

文献摘要

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摘要本文提出了一个模型,模拟水资源短缺期间全国流域尺度的水资源需求、供水和水资源分配方案的不稳定性。以漳河流域为例,对模型进行了验证。最优解,最小化水分配的不稳定性,分配河流的大部分水的下游子流域,与大部分的水分配给下游使用分配给安阳市。结果表明,在分配水资源时,应考虑到利益相关者在水资源共享问题中的社会经济环境动态。
ABSTRACT This article presents a model that simulates the dynamics of water demand, water supply and the instability of water allocation schemes at the national river basin scale during water scarcity. The Zhanghe River Basin in China is used as a case study to demonstrate the model. The optimum solution, minimizing water allocation instability, allocated most of the river’s water to the downstream sub-basin, with most of the water assigned for downstream use allocated to Anyang city. The results show that the socioeconomic–environmental dynamics of the stakeholders in a water-sharing problem should be taken into account when allocating water.
DOI: --
发表时间: 2002-05
期刊: --
影响因子: --
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DOI: 10.3390/w11020400
发表时间: 2019-02
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影响因子: 3.4
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