Exploring effects of ship traffic characteristics and environmental conditions on ship collision frequency
Exploring effects of ship traffic characteristics and environmental conditions on ship collision frequency
复制标题
探讨船舶交通特征和环境条件对船舶碰撞频率的影响
DOI：
10.1080/03088839.2020.1721584
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发表时间：
2020-02
影响因子：
3.5
通讯作者：
Yang Dong
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Weng Jinxian;Liao Shiguan;Wu Bing;Yang Dong
摘要本研究旨在模拟长江口地区的交通特性(即交通流量、交通速度、交通密度)、环境条件(即黑暗条件、天气条件和车道宽度)与船舶碰撞频率之间的复杂关系。考虑到船舶进场角度、船型、相对航速和黑暗条件对船舶避碰能力的影响，建立了船舶碰撞频率的动态船域模型。考虑到碰撞频率随碰撞频率的变化较大，进一步将实测的船舶碰撞频率建模为交通特性和环境条件的对数分布函数。结果表明：(1)车流量越大，(2)车流密度越大，(3)车道宽度越窄，(4)天气条件越恶劣，碰撞频率越高。黑暗环境是对船舶碰撞频率影响最大的因素。
ABSTRACT This study aims to model the complex relationship among the traffic characteristics (i.e. traffic flow, traffic speed, traffic density), environmental conditions (i.e. darkness condition, weather condition and traffic lane width) and frequency of ship collisions in the Yangtze River estuary areas. Taking into account the effects of ship approach angle, ship type, relative speed and darkness condition on the capability of ship collision avoidance, a dynamic ship domain model has been presented to measure ship collision frequency. Considering the big variation associated with the collision frequency, the measured ship collision frequency is further modeled as a loglogistic-distributed function of traffic characteristics and environmental conditions. Results show that the collision frequency is greater for (i) the bigger traffic flow; (ii) the bigger traffic density; (iii) the narrower traffic lane width; and (iv) the adverse weather condition. The darkness condition is the influencing factor that produces the biggest effect on the ship collision frequency.
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DOI：
10.1016/j.ress.2009.02.028
发表时间：
2009-08
期刊：
Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf.
影响因子：
--
作者：
P. Kujala;M. Hänninen;T. Arola;J. Ylitalo
通讯作者：
P. Kujala;M. Hänninen;T. Arola;J. Ylitalo
DOI：
10.1108/mabr-11-2017-0029
发表时间：
2018-04
期刊：
--
影响因子：
--
作者：
Son Nguyen;Haiyan Wang
通讯作者：
Son Nguyen;Haiyan Wang
影响因子：
6.1
作者：
Akhtar, Muhammad Juned;Utne, Ingrid Bouwer
通讯作者：
Utne, Ingrid Bouwer
影响因子：
5
作者：
Y. C. Altan;E. Otay
通讯作者：
Y. C. Altan;E. Otay
影响因子：
3.9
作者：
Z. Dai;James T. Liu;Gui Fu;Hua-liang Xie
通讯作者：
Z. Dai;James T. Liu;Gui Fu;Hua-liang Xie