Impact of climate change and other factors on emerging arbovirus diseases.
Impact of climate change and other factors on emerging arbovirus diseases.
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DOI：
10.1016/j.trstmh.2008.07.025
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发表时间：
2009-02
影响因子：
2.2
通讯作者：
Higgs S
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Gould EA;Higgs S
虽然一些怀疑论者仍然不相信全球气候变化是一个现实，但毫无疑问，在过去50年左右的时间里，新出现的虫媒病毒疾病的模式发生了重大变化。这能归咎于气候变化吗？气候是决定：(1)节肢动物地理和时间分布的主要因素；(2)节肢动物生命周期特征；(3)相关虫媒病毒的传播模式；(4)虫媒病毒的进化；(5)它们从节肢动物向脊椎动物宿主传播的效率。因此，在海洋变暖导致的气温和降雨增加的影响下，以及稳定气候的自然循环的改变，人们不可避免地得出这样的结论，即虫媒病毒将继续在新的地区出现。例如，我们不能忽视基孔肯雅热在意大利北部意外但成功地出现，西尼罗河病毒在北美突然出现，裂谷热在阿拉伯半岛流行的频率越来越高，以及最近在北欧出现的蓝舌病病毒。在这篇简短的综述中，我们提出了一个问题，这些疾病的出现是因为气候变化还是其他因素在其出现中发挥了同等甚至更重要的作用？
While some sceptics remain unconvinced that global climate change is a reality, there is no doubt that during the past 50 years or so, patterns of emerging arbovirus diseases have changed significantly. Can this be attributed to climate change? Climate is a major factor in determining: (1) the geographic and temporal distribution of arthropods; (2) characteristics of arthropod life cycles; (3) dispersal patterns of associated arboviruses; (4) the evolution of arboviruses; and (5) the efficiency with which they are transmitted from arthropods to vertebrate hosts. Thus, under the influence of increasing temperatures and rainfall through warming of the oceans, and alteration of the natural cycles that stabilise climate, one is inevitably drawn to the conclusion that arboviruses will continue to emerge in new regions. For example, we cannot ignore the unexpected but successful establishment of chikungunya fever in northern Italy, the sudden appearance of West Nile virus in North America, the increasing frequency of Rift Valley fever epidemics in the Arabian Peninsula, and very recently, the emergence of Bluetongue virus in northern Europe. In this brief review we ask the question, are these diseases emerging because of climate change or do other factors play an equal or even more important role in their emergence?
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影响因子：
11.8
作者：
Davis, C Todd;Beasley, David W C;Guzman, Hilda;Raj, Rushker;D'Anton, Mary;Novak, Robert J;Unnasch, Thomas R;Tesh, Robert B;Barrett, Alan D T
通讯作者：
Barrett, Alan D T
影响因子：
4.8
作者：
Buckley A;Dawson A;Gould EA
通讯作者：
Gould EA
影响因子：
56.9
作者：
Fonseca, DM;Keyghobadi, N;Wilkerson, RC
通讯作者：
Wilkerson, RC
影响因子：
3.7
作者：
Beasley, DWC;Davis, CT;Barrett, ADT
通讯作者：
Barrett, ADT
影响因子：
3.8
作者：
Ebel, GD;Spielman, A;Telford, SR
通讯作者：
Telford, SR