A scoping review of foot-and-mouth disease risk, based on spatial and spatio-temporal analysis of outbreaks in endemic settings.

A scoping review of foot-and-mouth disease risk, based on spatial and spatio-temporal analysis of outbreaks in endemic settings.
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DOI:
10.1111/tbed.14769
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发表时间:
2022-11
影响因子:
4.3
通讯作者:
Bronsvoort, Barend M. de C.
Bronsvoort, Barend M. de C.
中科院分区:
农林科学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Gordon, Lina Gonzalez;Porphyre, Thibaud;Muhanguzi, Dennis;Muwonge, Adrian;Boden, Lisa;Bronsvoort, Barend M. de C.

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口蹄疫(FMD)是影响全球牲畜和野生动物物种的最重要的跨界动物疾病之一。血清学调查和反复爆发所证明的病毒持续传播表明,在非洲、亚洲和中东的一些地区存在地方性传播周期。这是一个复杂过程的结果,其中多种血清型,多宿主相互作用和许多社会流行病学因素汇集在一起,以促进疾病的引入,存活和传播。空间和时空分析越来越多地用于通过确定高风险地区,分析时间趋势和探索导致疫情的因素来探索疾病负担。我们系统地检索了关于口蹄疫暴发的空间和时空研究,以总结其方法学方法的变化,并确定与地方性背景下暴发相关的流行病学因素。最终审查纳入了51项研究。高比例的论文描述和可视化的爆发(72.5%)和49.0%使用一种或多种方法来研究其空间,时间和时空聚集。通常与口蹄疫风险相关的流行病学方面可大致分为以下主题:(a)动物人口统计学和相互作用,(B)空间可达性,(c)贸易,(d)社会经济和(e)环境因素。这些研究主题的一致性强调了病毒在流行地区持续存在的不同途径,有可能利用它们来设计适合当地需求的循证控制方案。将社区的社会经济学与模拟的FMD爆发联系起来的数据有限,在现有知识中留下了空白。全面分析口蹄疫爆发需要系统的观点,因为多种流行病学因素有助于病毒传播,并可能提高疾病绘图的准确性。未来的研究应探讨社会经济和流行病学因素之间的联系,作为将确定的机会转化为干预措施的基础,以改善地方性环境中口蹄疫监测和控制措施的结果。
Foot‐and‐mouth disease (FMD) is one of the most important transboundary animal diseases affecting livestock and wildlife species worldwide. Sustained viral circulation, as evidenced by serological surveys and the recurrence of outbreaks, suggests endemic transmission cycles in some parts of Africa, Asia and the Middle East. This is the result of a complex process in which multiple serotypes, multi‐host interactions and numerous socio‐epidemiological factors converge to facilitate disease introduction, survival and spread. Spatial and spatio‐temporal analyses have been increasingly used to explore the burden of the disease by identifying high‐risk areas, analysing temporal trends and exploring the factors that contribute to the outbreaks. We systematically retrieved spatial and spatial‐temporal studies on FMD outbreaks to summarize variations on their methodological approaches and identify the epidemiological factors associated with the outbreaks in endemic contexts. Fifty‐one studies were included in the final review. A high proportion of papers described and visualized the outbreaks (72.5%) and 49.0% used one or more approaches to study their spatial, temporal and spatio‐temporal aggregation. The epidemiological aspects commonly linked to FMD risk are broadly categorizable into themes such as (a) animal demographics and interactions, (b) spatial accessibility, (c) trade, (d) socio‐economic and (e) environmental factors. The consistency of these themes across studies underlines the different pathways in which the virus is sustained in endemic areas, with the potential to exploit them to design tailored evidence based‐control programmes for the local needs. There was limited data linking the socio‐economics of communities and modelled FMD outbreaks, leaving a gap in the current knowledge. A thorough analysis of FMD outbreaks requires a systemic view as multiple epidemiological factors contribute to viral circulation and may improve the accuracy of disease mapping. Future studies should explore the links between socio‐economic and epidemiological factors as a foundation for translating the identified opportunities into interventions to improve the outcomes of FMD surveillance and control initiatives in endemic contexts.
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发表时间: 2018-10-29
影响因子: 4.2
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发表时间: 2016-05-01
期刊: Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira
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DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-985x.2011.01004.x
发表时间: 2012-01-01
影响因子: 2
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