Reframing incentives for climate policy action

Reframing incentives for climate policy action
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重新制定气候政策行动的激励措施

DOI:
10.1038/s41560-021-00934-2
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发表时间:
2021
期刊:
影响因子:
56.7
通讯作者:
Mercure J
Mercure J
中科院分区:
材料科学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Mercure J

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气候政策的一个关键目标是逐步以可再生能源和能源效率取代化石燃料的使用。与化石燃料相关的实物和自然资本的迅速贬值和替代,意味着工业价值链、国际贸易和地缘政治的深刻重组。在这里,我们提出的证据证实,能源系统的转型正在进行中,我们探讨新兴能源地理的经济和战略影响。我们特别指出,考虑到正在进行的能源转型的经济影响,气候政策的框架在经济上对那些追求它的人是一个糟糕的描述战略激励。相反,一种新的气候政策激励配置出现了,化石燃料进口商最好脱碳,有竞争力的化石燃料出口商最好充斥市场,而没有竞争力的化石燃料生产商-而不是从“搭便车”中受益-遭受搁浅资产的风险和缺乏脱碳技术的投资。
A key aim of climate policy is to progressively substitute renewables and energy efficiency for fossil fuel use. The associated rapid depreciation and replacement of fossil-fuel-related physical and natural capital entail a profound reorganization of industry value chains, international trade and geopolitics. Here we present evidence confirming that the transformation of energy systems is well under way, and we explore the economic and strategic implications of the emerging energy geography. We show specifically that, given the economic implications of the ongoing energy transformation, the framing of climate policy as economically detrimental to those pursuing it is a poor description of strategic incentives. Instead, a new climate policy incentives configuration emerges in which fossil fuel importers are better off decarbonizing, competitive fossil fuel exporters are better off flooding markets and uncompetitive fossil fuel producers—rather than benefitting from ‘free-riding’—suffer from their exposure to stranded assets and lack of investment in decarbonization technologies.
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