Individual Differences in Base Rate Neglect: A Fuzzy Processing Preference Index.
Individual Differences in Base Rate Neglect: A Fuzzy Processing Preference Index.
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DOI：
10.1016/j.lindif.2013.03.003
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发表时间：
2013-06-01
影响因子：
3.6
通讯作者：
Fisher, Christopher R.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Wolfe, Christopher R.;Fisher, Christopher R.
关键词：
人们对在进行概率判断时整合数字基本率和定性文本的个体差异知之甚少。模糊跟踪理论预测了对模糊处理的偏好。我们进行了六项研究来开发 FPPI，这是一种可靠且有效的工具，用于评估这种模糊处理偏好的个体差异。它由 19 个概率估计项加上 4 个“M-Scale”项组成，用于区分简单模式匹配和“基本率尊重”。 Cronbach's Alpha 始终高于 0.90。 FPPI 分数与其他三个测量指标之间的显着相关性表明了有效性：“基于规则的”过程分离程序分数；联合概率估计中合取谬误的数量；以及三段论推理的逻辑指数分数。将大学研究中收集的规范与基于网络的研究重复，FPPI 分数的差异可以忽略不计，这表明了稳健性。两项基于网络的研究部分复制了基本率方面的个体差异与合取谬误和三段论推理之间的预测关系。
Little is known about individual differences in integrating numeric base-rates and qualitative text in making probability judgments. Fuzzy-Trace Theory predicts a preference for fuzzy processing. We conducted six studies to develop the FPPI, a reliable and valid instrument assessing individual differences in this fuzzy processing preference. It consists of 19 probability estimation items plus 4 "M-Scale" items that distinguish simple pattern matching from “base rate respect.” Cronbach's Alpha was consistently above 0.90. Validity is suggested by significant correlations between FPPI scores and three other measurers: "Rule Based" Process Dissociation Procedure scores; the number of conjunction fallacies in joint probability estimation; and logic index scores on syllogistic reasoning. Replicating norms collected in a university study with a web-based study produced negligible differences in FPPI scores, indicating robustness. The predicted relationships between individual differences in base rate respect and both conjunction fallacies and syllogistic reasoning were partially replicated in two web-based studies.
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影响因子：
2.6
作者：
Reyna, Valerie F.;Lloyd, Farrell J.
通讯作者：
Lloyd, Farrell J.
影响因子：
2.6
作者：
Evans, JSBT;Curtis-Holmes, J
通讯作者：
Curtis-Holmes, J
影响因子：
7.6
作者：
Ferreira, Mario B.;Garcia-Marques, Leonel;Sherman, Jeffrey W.
通讯作者：
Sherman, Jeffrey W.
影响因子：
1.8
作者：
LYON, D;SLOVIC, P
通讯作者：
SLOVIC, P
DOI：
10.1080/02724980343000440
发表时间：
2004-05-01
期刊：
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY SECTION A-HUMAN EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY
影响因子：
--
作者：
Morley, NJ;Evans, JST;Handley, SJ
通讯作者：
Handley, SJ