Asocial capital: Civic culture and social distancing during COVID-19.

Asocial capital: Civic culture and social distancing during COVID-19.
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DOI:
10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104342
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发表时间:
2021-03
影响因子:
9.8
通讯作者:
Gulino, Giorgio
Gulino, Giorgio
中科院分区:
经济学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Durante, Ruben;Guiso, Luigi;Gulino, Giorgio

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如果公民遵守新冠肺炎的规定,并将自己的流动成本内部化到他人身上,社交距离可以减缓微博的传播。我们利用2020年1月至5月意大利各省的流动性数据,研究了公民价值观如何调节这一过程。我们发现,在病毒爆发后,流动性下降,但在公民资本较高的地区,无论是在强制国家封锁之前和之后,流动性都明显下降。影响的驱动因素不是传染风险、卫生保健能力、地理社会经济和人口因素的差异,也不是普遍的南北差距。模拟在意大利校准的SIR模型,我们估计,如果所有省份都有与排名前四的省份相同的公民资本,与COVID相关的死亡人数将降低约60%。我们在德国发现了一致的结果,那里大流行的发病率和对流动性的限制较轻。
Social distancing can slow the spread of COVID-19 if citizens comply with it and internalize the cost of their mobility on others. We study how civic values mediate this process using data on mobility across Italian provinces between January and May 2020. We find that after the virus outbreak mobility declined, but significantly more in areas with higher civic capital, both before and after a mandatory national lockdown. The effect is not driven by differences in the risk of contagion, health-care capacity, geographic socioeconomic and demographic factors, or by a general North–South divide. Simulating a SIR model calibrated on Italy, we estimate that if all provinces had the same civic capital as those in top-quartile, COVID-related deaths would have been about 60% lower. We find consistent results for Germany where the incidence of the pandemic and restrictions to mobility were milder.
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