Clinical and immunogenetic prognostic factors for radiographic severity in ankylosing spondylitis.

Clinical and immunogenetic prognostic factors for radiographic severity in ankylosing spondylitis.
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DOI:
10.1002/art.24585
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发表时间:
2009-07-15
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Weisman, Michael H.
Weisman, Michael H.
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Ward, Michael M.;Hendrey, Matthew R.;Malley, James D.;Learch, Thomas J.;Davis, John C., Jr.;Reveille, John D.;Weisman, Michael H.

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To improve prognostic ability in ankylosing spondylitis (AS), we sought to identify demographic, clinical, and immunogenetic characteristics associated with radiographic severity in a large cohort of patients. Patients with AS of 20 years or more were enrolled in a cross-sectional study (N=398). Pelvic and spinal radiographs were scored using the Bath AS Radiology Index-Spine (BASRI-S), and radiographic severity was measured as BASRI-S/duration of AS. Clinical factors and HLA-B, DR, DQ, and DP alleles associated with the highest quartile of the distribution of radiographic severity were identified by first using random forests and then multivariable logistic regression modeling. Similar procedures were used to identify factors associated with the lowest quartile of radiographic severity. Radiographic severity (being in the top quartile of BASRI-S/duration of AS) was associated with older age of onset of AS (odds ratio (OR) 1.10 per year), male gender (OR 1.90), current smoking (OR 4.72), and the presence of HLA- B*4100 (OR 11.73), DRB1*0804 (OR 12.32), DQA1*0401 (OR 5.24), DQB1*0603 (OR 3.42), and DPB1*0202 (OR 23.36), while the presence of DRB1*0801 was strongly negatively associated (OR 0.03). Being in the lowest quartile of BASRI-S/duration of AS was also less likely among those with an older age of onset of AS (OR 0.94 per year), men (OR 0.28), and current smokers (OR 0.29). The accuracy of prognosis of radiographic severity in AS is improved by knowing the age of onset, gender, smoking history, and the presence of HLA-B*4100, DRB1*0804, DQA1*0401, DQB1*0603, DRB1*0801, and DPB1*0202 alleles.
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