Development of an adaptive statistical model for oceanic flooding hazards along the East Australian coast.

开发澳大利亚东海岸海洋洪水灾害的自适应统计模型。

• 批准号: LP100100375
• 负责人: A/Prof Dave Callaghan
• 金额: $ 15.83万
• 依托单位: The University of Queensland
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Linkage Projects
• 财政年份: 2010
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2010-04-16 至 2013-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/LP100100375
• 关键词: Development; adaptive; statistical; model; oceanic

Planning of invaluable coastal infrastructure and housing is critical to the economic and social well-being of Australian communities. Devastating flooding along coasts and estuaries in Australia frequently occurred before 1980, but has been less common since. However, the risks are clear and enormous as demonstrated in recent disasters like Hurricane Katrina and the 2004 Boxing Day tsunami. Climate change makes flood predictions even more difficult. This project will develop a new adaptive model which accounts for both the present and future climate and also regional variability. The research will be in collaboration with the NSW Dept of Climate Change to enable rapid government action to improve community trust in flood protection.

规划宝贵的沿海基础设施和住房对澳大利亚社区的经济和社会福祉至关重要。1980年以前，澳大利亚沿海和河口沿着经常发生毁灭性的洪水，但此后就不那么常见了。然而，正如最近的卡特里娜飓风和2004年节礼日海啸等灾害所表明的那样，风险是明显和巨大的。气候变化使洪水预测变得更加困难。该项目将开发一个新的适应模式，既考虑到目前和未来的气候，也考虑到区域的变化。该研究将与新南威尔士州气候变化部合作，使政府能够迅速采取行动，提高社区对防洪的信任。