Analyzing Job Opportunities

长期以来，工作机会一直被认为是 在广泛的重要学术和政策中发挥关键作用 问题. 然而，目前尚不清楚持续的影响是什么。 从制造业经济向服务业经济的转变 就业机会的数量和类型 近年来，随着经济的发展， 各阶层的人口成功地竞争 为了这些机会。 对低- 熟练劳动力导致了下层阶级的增长 什么 是蓝领阶层的中等收入工作机会吗 经济的变化如何影响妇女的努力 减少职业和工资 他们经历的差异？ 这项研究探讨了变化的影响， 国家的职业和行业通过检查工作 这些变化带来的机遇。 该项目将获得就业人数的估计数 从1968年到1984年每年出现的机会， 将研究这些年来就业机会的趋势 改变了职业地位， 重要的亚群体（包括妇女、少数民族和 传统的蓝领制造业工人）。 该研究将利用当前人口的数据 调查以估计机会总数 每年都会产生，并将区分这些工作 行业和职业的机会。 这将允许 按职业分列的就业机会趋势说明 1968年至1984年，特别注意如何 就业机会正在发生变化。主要研究者 还将开发新的统计模型， 经济机会的可能性，工人将 从一个职业阶层转移到另一个职业阶层。 整个项目应大大提高我们的 对过去两年所创造的就业机会的认识 几十年来，不断变化的机会 影响了重要部门的劳动力市场经验 的人口。 它也应该增进我们对 具有各种技能的工人的职业轨迹， 面对变化中的劳动力， 市场

Job opportunities have long been recognized as playing a crucial role in a wide range of important academic and policy issues. However, it is not clear what impact the continuing shift from a manufacturing to a service economy has had on the number and type of job opportunities that the economy has generated in recent years, and on the changing ability of various segments of the population to successfully compete for these opportunities. Has the declining need for low- skilled labor generated the growth of an underclass? What are the blue-collar opportunities for middle income jobs? How have shifts in the economy affected the efforts by women and minorities to reduce the occupation and wage differentials they experience? This research examines the implications of changes in the nation's occupations and industries by examining the job opportunities that arose as a consequence of these changes. The project will obtain estimates of the number of job opportunities that arose in each year from 1968 to 1984, and will examine how trends in job opportunities over these years have contributed to the changing occupational status of important sub-populations (including women, minorities, and workers in traditionally blue-collar manufacturing jobs). The study will draw on data from the Current Population Survey to estimate the total number of opportunities generated during each year, and will distinguish these job opportunities by industry and occupation. This will permit a description of trends in job opportunities by occupation from 1968 to 1984, with particular attention to questions of how job opportunities are changing. The principal investigator will also develop new statistical models of the influence of economic opportunities on the likelihood that workers will move from one job strata to another. The project in its entirety should considerably advance our knowledge of the job opportunities created in the past two decades and of ways in which changing opportunities have affected the labor market experiences of important segments of the population. It should also improve our understanding of the career trajectories of workers with various skills and characteristics who are confronted with a changing labor market.