Social Dilemmas With Uncertain Resources

资源不确定的社会困境

• 批准号: 9107439
• 负责人: Amnon Rapoport
• 金额: $ 4.32万
• 依托单位: University of Arizona
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 1991
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1991-09-01 至 1993-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=9107439&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Social; Dilemmas; Uncertain; Resources

Resource dilemmas are created when group members shared limited resources to which all have free access(e.g., groundwater, energy, minerals, endangered species.) When group members request their share from the resource pool independently, with no communication among them, there is experimental evidence showing that as the uncertainty about the size of the resource increases, people increase their requests thereby lowering the probability that their request will be granted. Six experiments are proposed to study the effects of several variables (e.g., amount of uncertainty about the resource, group size, real-time updating of information about total group request) about the resolution of resource dilemmas under two protocols of play. Under one protocol, requests are made simultaneously, and under the other, sequentially with full information about previous requests. The proposed experiments are driven by a game theoretical model prescribing an equilibrium solution and by a decision theoretical model. The findings should be useful in understanding the effects of alternative mechanisms on decision behavior in resource dilemmas, which are among the most serious problems facing modern society.

当集团成员共享所有人都可以免费获得的有限资源(例如地下水、能源、矿物、濒危物种)时，就会产生资源困境。当群体成员独立地从资源池中请求他们的份额时，他们之间没有沟通，有实验证据表明，随着资源大小的不确定性增加，人们增加了他们的请求，从而降低了他们的请求被批准的概率。提出了六个实验来研究在两种游戏协议下，几个变量(例如，关于资源的不确定性、群大小、关于总群请求的信息的实时更新)对解决资源困境的影响。在一种协议下，请求是同时发出的，而在另一种协议下，请求是按顺序发出的，其中包含有关先前请求的全部信息。所提出的实验是由规定均衡解的博弈论模型和决策理论模型驱动的。这些发现应该有助于理解替代机制对资源困境中决策行为的影响，资源困境是现代社会面临的最严重问题之一。