Support for Participation in the Workshop on Variability of the Asian-Australian Monsoon

在过去十年中，在确定控制太平洋海洋-大气相互作用和导致厄尔尼诺-南方涛动（ENSO）缓慢调制的基本物理过程方面取得了相当大的进展。在很大程度上，已经评估了冷暖事件对全球气候的影响程度，包括这种影响在不同事件之间的变异性。问题来了：在预测亚洲-澳大利亚季风变化及其全球气候影响方面，是否有可能取得同样程度的成功？今年夏天（1998年）将举行一个讲习班，评估改进季风预报的潜力及其影响。讲习班将包括气象学、气候学、海洋学和陆地表面过程方面的专家。具体目标包括：*评估亚洲-澳大利亚季风在季节内到年际时间尺度上的可变性和可预测性的知识现状*评估目前在独立海洋和大气模式以及耦合模式中模拟季风系统的能力*制定一项战略，以促进对季风系统及其可预测性的理解社区。美国国家科学基金会的大气和海洋科学部以及美国国家海洋和大气管理局和美国国家航空航天局共同支持这一奖项。

During the last decade, considerable progress has been made in determining the basic physical processes that govern ocean-atmosphere interaction in the Pacific Ocean and that are responsible for the slowly modulation El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). To a significant degree, the extent to which warm and cold events influence global climate has been assessed, including the variability of that influence from event to event. The questions arise: is it possible to achieve the same degree of success with respect to predictions of the Asian-Australian monsoon variability and its global climate influence? A workshop will be held this summer (1998) to assess the potential for improved monsoon prediction and its impacts. The workshop will involve scientists with expertise in meteorology, climate, oceanography, and land surface processes. The specific objectives include:* Assessing the status of knowledge of the variability and predictability of the Asian-Australian monsoon on time-scales from intraseasonal to interannual* Assessing current abilities to model the monsoon system in stand-alone ocean and atmospheric models as well as coupled models* Developing a strategy for advancing understanding of the monsoon system and its predictabilityA report of findings and recommendations will be produced and made widely available to the community.The Divisions of Atmospheric and Oceans Sciences at NSF as well as NOAA and NASA are sharing in the support for this award.