Collaborative Research: Time-Continuous Climate Simulations of Abrupt Events and Transitions through the Cenozoic

合作研究：新生代突发事件和转变的时间连续气候模拟

• 批准号: 0513421
• 负责人: David Pollard
• 金额: $ 27.94万
• 依托单位: Pennsylvania State Univ University Park
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2006
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2006-03-01 至 2011-02-28
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0513421&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; Research; Time; Continuous; Climate

This award funds the development of a new class of climate system models combining the spatial capabilities of coupled General Circulation Models (GCM) with highly resolved and computationally efficient long-term components including ice sheets and oceans. This will allow for long temporal integrations while accounting for evolving boundary conditions and transient forcing, including greenhouse gas variations. The premise for the project is that the application of sophisticated numerical climate models to isolated snapshots at specific time points through the Cenozoic has contributed to an understanding of equilibrium climate sensitivity under a wide range of boundary conditions. The researchers maintain that such an approach is somewhat limited by failing to account for the time-continuous nature of climate change over long time scales. They postulate that a better understanding of relatively sudden transitions and abrupt events recognized in Cenozoic climate records requires a new modeling approach capable of multi-million year integrations of long-term variables (i.e., oceans, ice sheets, geochemical cycles) while accounting for relatively high frequency forcing (e.g., orbital cycles) and internal feedbacks contributing to non-linear behavior.Specifically, the researchers will simulate both transitional climate shifts (Eocene-Oligocene cooling and Antarctic glaciation; Middle-Late Miocene cooling and the buildup of East Antarctic ice; onset of Northern Hemisphere glaciation) and transient events (earliest Miocene glaciation) recognized in proxy climate records. The researchers will use multiple simulations in an attempt to identify the primary forcing and important processes associated with: 1) physical climate components, feedbacks, and interactions; and 2) the role of orbital, greenhouse gas, and tectonic forcing in Cenozoic climate variability. Results from this research have the potential to add to the knowledge of how Earths climate transitions from one mean state to another by examining key Cenozoic temporal horizons. The use of a Global Imagination projector enhances the research and education aspects of the project by adding the ability to display model results on a spherical projection that is layered in any manner that the researcher chooses. Superimposing climatic circulation patterns over landmasses on a rotating globe, for example, can help researchers gain a new perspective on their model results while encouraging new avenues of inquiry. Similarly, allowing those outside of the field of modeling and members of the general public to see such representations could lead to greater understanding of climate processes by spurring new thoughts on old subjects.

该奖项资助开发一类新的气候系统模式，将耦合的大气环流模式(GCM)的空间能力与包括冰盖和海洋在内的高分辨率和计算效率的长期分量结合在一起。这将允许长期的时间积分，同时考虑到不断变化的边界条件和瞬时强迫，包括温室气体变化。该项目的前提是，将复杂的数值气候模式应用于整个新生代特定时间点的孤立快照，有助于了解各种边界条件下的平衡气候敏感性。研究人员坚持认为，由于未能考虑到气候变化在长时间尺度上的时间连续性，这种方法在某种程度上受到了限制。他们假设，要更好地理解新生代气候记录中识别的相对突然的转变和突然事件，需要一种新的建模方法，能够对长期变量(即海洋、冰盖、地球化学循环)进行数百万年的积分，同时考虑到相对较高的频率强迫(例如轨道周期)和导致非线性行为的内部反馈。具体地说，研究人员将模拟过渡性气候变化(始新世-渐新世冷却和南极冰川作用；中新世冷却和东南极冰的积累；北半球冰川作用的开始)和替代气候记录中承认的瞬变事件(最早的中新世冰川作用)。研究人员将使用多个模拟，试图确定与以下相关的主要强迫和重要过程：1)物理气候成分、反馈和相互作用；2)轨道、温室气体和构造强迫在新生代气候变异性中的作用。这项研究的结果有可能通过研究关键的新生代时间地平线来增加关于地球气候如何从一个平均状态过渡到另一个平均状态的知识。Global Imagination投影仪的使用增强了该项目的研究和教育方面，因为它增加了在球面投影上显示模型结果的能力，该球面投影以研究人员选择的任何方式分层。例如，在旋转的地球上叠加陆地上的气候环流模式，可以帮助研究人员对他们的模型结果获得新的视角，同时鼓励新的探索途径。同样，让模型领域以外的人和普通公众看到这样的陈述，可能会通过激发对旧主题的新想法，从而更好地理解气候过程。