Complex Effects of Climate Change on Nature Reserve Networks at Macroscales

气候变化对宏观尺度自然保护区网络的复杂影响

• 批准号: 1340812
• 负责人: Jianguo Liu
• 金额: $ 230万
• 依托单位: Michigan State University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2014
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2014-11-01 至 2020-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1340812&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Complex; Effects; Climate; Change; Nature

Protected areas such as nature reserves have been a major cornerstone of biodiversity conservation. However, human activities have compromised conservation goals in many nature reserves, and climate change poses additional threats to their long-term viability and success. Although some studies have analyzed climate change impacts on the conservation effectiveness of nature reserves, most have focused on individual nature reserves in localized regions. Funding is provided to assess the changes in species distribution within and across networks of nature reserves in broad geographic regions, and to analyze the effects of climate change on the long-term survival of plant and animal species. An exceptional setting for achieving the objectives is the globally important forested macrosystem that is the historical geographic range of the world-famous endangered giant panda (2.2 million km2 across 19 provinces of China). Across this vast macrosystem there are currently 63 panda reserves and over 1,000 reserves for other purposes, which together constitute a reserve meta-network (network of networks). Using state-of-the-art climate change projections, remote sensing techniques, meta-uncertainty analyses, and species distribution models, a multi-disciplinary and international team of researchers will analyze climate change impacts on conservation effectiveness of this meta-network of reserves as well as current and future geographic distribution of the panda and around 30 bamboo species that comprise 99% of its diet. This project will lead to transformative and significant outcomes, such as testing and extending two fundamental theories (niche theory and connectivity theory) at macroscales. It will also generate powerful and lasting broader impacts. Through active engagement with stakeholders, the research team will use project results to develop and evaluate effective and efficient conservation strategies of global importance in the context of climate change. Improving conservation strategies for a well-known charismatic endangered species will help to increase the public awareness of the potential climate change impacts on biodiversity, and encourage public engagement on climate change mitigation and adaptation. Through strategic communication and hands-on workshops, the results and methods will be widely disseminated to inspire others to analyze the impacts of climate change on other species and other nature reserve networks around the world. Furthermore, the project will train undergraduate and graduate students as well as post-doctoral scholars, who will gain broad and deep knowledge and learn important skills to become future visionary leaders and globally-engaged researchers who can creatively address future challenges to biodiversity research and conservation.

自然保护区等保护区一直是生物多样性保护的主要基石。然而，人类活动损害了许多自然保护区的保护目标，气候变化对它们的长期可行性和成功构成了额外的威胁。虽然一些研究分析了气候变化对自然保护区保护有效性的影响，但大多数研究都集中在局部地区的单个自然保护区。 提供资金用于评估广泛地理区域内自然保护区网络内部和之间的物种分布变化，并分析气候变化对动植物物种长期生存的影响。实现这些目标的一个特殊环境是具有全球重要性的森林大系统，这是世界著名的濒危大熊猫的历史地理范围（中国19个省220万平方公里）。在这个庞大的宏观系统中，目前有63个大熊猫保护区和1,000多个其他目的的保护区，它们共同构成了一个保护区元网络（网络的网络）。 利用最先进的气候变化预测、遥感技术、元不确定性分析和物种分布模型，一个多学科的国际研究团队将分析气候变化对保护区元网络保护有效性的影响，以及大熊猫和约30种竹子（占其饮食的99%）当前和未来的地理分布。该项目将带来变革性的重大成果，例如在宏观尺度上测试和扩展两个基本理论（生态位理论和连接性理论）。 它还将产生强大和持久的广泛影响。通过与利益相关者的积极参与，研究团队将利用项目成果制定和评估在气候变化背景下具有全球重要性的有效和高效的保护战略。改善众所周知的魅力濒危物种的保护策略将有助于提高公众对气候变化对生物多样性潜在影响的认识，并鼓励公众参与减缓和适应气候变化。通过战略沟通和实践研讨会，将广泛传播成果和方法，以激励其他人分析气候变化对世界各地其他物种和其他自然保护区网络的影响。 此外，该项目将培养本科生和研究生以及博士后学者，他们将获得广泛而深入的知识，并学习重要的技能，成为未来有远见的领导者和全球参与的研究人员，他们可以创造性地应对生物多样性研究和保护的未来挑战。

项目成果

Metacoupled Tourism and Wildlife Translocations Affect Synergies and Trade-Offs among Sustainable Development Goals across Spillover Systems

• DOI: 10.3390/su12187677
• 发表时间: 2020-09
• 期刊: Sustainability
• 影响因子: 3.9
• 作者: Zhiqiang Zhao;Meng Cai;T. Connor;M. Chung;Jianguo Liu

Synergies and tradeoffs among Sustainable Development Goals across boundaries in a metacoupled world

元耦合世界中跨界可持续发展目标的协同作用和权衡

• DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141749
• 发表时间: 2021
• 期刊: Science of The Total Environment
• 影响因子: 9.8
• 作者: Zhao, Zhiqiang;Cai, Meng;Wang, Fang;Winkler, Julie A.;Connor, Thomas;Chung, Min Gon;Zhang, Jindong;Yang, Hongbo;Xu, Zhenci;Tang, Ying
• 通讯作者: Tang, Ying

Impacts of international trade on global sustainable development

• DOI: 10.1038/s41893-020-0572-z
• 发表时间: 2020-07-13
• 期刊: NATURE SUSTAINABILITY
• 影响因子: 27.6
• 作者: Xu, Zhenci;Li, Yingjie;Liu, Jianguo
• 通讯作者: Liu, Jianguo