Coastal SEES Collaborative Research: Climate change impacts on the sustainability of key fisheries of the California Current System

加州海岸外的区域支持对人类文化、经济和生计至关重要的生产性商业和休闲渔业，如鱿鱼、沙丁鱼和龙虾。气候变化预计将改变海洋系统，并促进鱼类种群的变化，这将直接影响渔民的利润和行为，以及管理者在设定捕捞限制方面的行动。这项名为Coastal Sees的合作研究将海洋学家、渔业科学家、经济学家和社会科学家聚集在一起，以更好地了解气候和沿海海洋系统、鱼类种群、渔民和渔业社区以及资源管理之间的相互作用。研究团队包括州和联邦科学家，结果将与资源管理社区分享。该项目将支持本科生、研究生和博士后科学家的跨学科培训，调查人员将参加一些公共外联活动。这个Coastal Sees项目汇集了一个由海洋学家、渔业科学家、经济学家和社会科学家组成的不同团队，以发展对气候对沿海渔业影响的新的、综合的理解。调查人员将研究气候变化将如何改变捕鱼行为、收入、工作分配和生计能力。重点关注已知对环境变化做出反应的三个关键商业捕捞物种：太平洋沙丁鱼、加州市场鱿鱼和加州刺龙虾。每一种都支持经济上重要的渔业，并在海洋生境、纬度范围和反应时间尺度方面代表不同类型的生物。该方法将包括全球气候模型预测、区域海洋建模、渔业建模、经济建模，以及对管理情景和渔民行为的研究。目标将是帮助在未来气候情景下制定可持续管理战略，以预测这三个渔业的生态、社会和经济结果。

The area off the California coast supports productive commercial and recreational fisheries such as squid, sardine, and lobster that are important to human cultures, economies, and livelihoods. Climate change is expected to alter the oceanic system and contribute to changes in fish populations that will directly affect fishers' profits and behavior, as well as managers' actions in setting limits on harvest. This collaborative Coastal SEES study brings together oceanographers, fisheries scientists, economists, and social scientists to develop a better understanding of interactions among the climate and coastal ocean system, fish populations, fishers and fishing communities, and resource management. The research team includes state and federal scientists, and results will be shared with the resource management community. The project will support interdisciplinary training for undergraduates, graduate students, and postdoctoral scientists, and the investigators will participate in a number of public outreach activities. This Coastal SEES project assembles a diverse team of oceanographers, fisheries scientists, economists, and social scientists to develop new, integrated understanding of climate effects on coastal fisheries. The investigators will examine how fishing behavior, income, jobs distribution, and livelihood viability will be altered by climate change. The focus is on three key commercially harvested species that are known to respond to environmental change: Pacific sardine, California market squid, and California spiny lobster. Each of these supports an economically important fishery and represents a different type of organism in terms of marine habitat, latitudinal range, and time scale of response. The approach will include global climate model projections, regional ocean modeling, fisheries modeling, economics modeling, plus studies of management scenarios and fisher behavior. The goal will be to help develop sustainable management strategies under future climate scenarios given predicted ecological, social, and economic outcomes for these three fisheries.