Stochastic Modelling of Structural Facade Damage and Occupant Safety Risks Due to Explosive Blast Loading

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The cost of providing blast protective measures to built infrastructure is immense and providing protective measures to potentially hundreds or thousands of existing buildings is immense and beyond the resources of government and society. The risk-based decision-making framework proposed herein allows damage and casualty risks to be quantified and compared in a rational and consistent manner, thus ensuring that risk mitigation is maximised given expenditure of limited resources. Clearly, maximising risk mitigation across a range of high risk buildings will minimise building damage, loss of life, business disruption and other economic and social impacts in the event of a severe bomb blast.