CAREER: CAS- Climate: Making Decarbonization of the Electric Power Sector Robust to Climate Change

职业：CAS-气候：使电力行业脱碳应对气候变化

• 批准号: 2142421
• 负责人: Michael Craig
• 金额: $ 50.79万
• 依托单位: Regents of the University of Michigan - Ann Arbor
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2022-09-01 至 2027-08-31
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2142421&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: CAREER; CAS; Climate; Making; Decarbonization

2142421 (Craig). Decarbonizing, or reducing carbon dioxide emissions from, the electric power sector underpins climate change mitigation. In the near-term, regardless of decarbonization progress, climate change will intensify. As climate change intensifies, it will increasingly affect our weather, including through more extreme events. Extreme events will pose new challenges to avoiding power system outages, or to maintaining system reliability. Maintaining reliability is essential to promote human and economic health and wellbeing. This project seeks to better understand three questions: (1) How can power systems decarbonize while delivering reliable and affordable electricity under a changing climate? (2) How will climate change impact system reliability of alternative future power systems? (3) What strategies exist that further decarbonization, affordability, and reliability of power systems under a changing climate? The project’s scope spans the conterminous United States. To promote national health, prosperity, and wellbeing, this project will translate its scientific advances for power system stakeholders through a series of workshops and other training venues. This project will also provide graduate students new educational opportunities through stakeholder-driven problems. The PI will recruit underrepresented minorities and female undergraduate and graduate students to contribute to research on this project. Given the scale of real-world power systems coupled with deep climate uncertainty, existing power system planning methods are ill-suited to answer our research questions. Robust decision-making (RDM) offers a new approach that has promising capabilities to bridge the above domains and their uncertainties, enabling discovery of decarbonized, cost-effective, and reliable systems that are robust to climate change. This project’s overarching goal is to develop a transformative framework that applies RDM to next-generation planning, operational, and reliability models to achieve decarbonized, cost-effective, and reliable systems under climate change. This goal will be achieved for each of the three main US regional Interconnects (i.e., conterminous US). The above research agenda will be tightly integrated with an educational plan for STEM students and power system stakeholders. Education will be guided by an advisory board of diverse power system stakeholders. Innovative educational programming for STEM undergraduate and graduate students will combine theory from mini-courses with practice from stakeholder-driven experimental projects focused on real-world problems. Stakeholder programming will leverage workshops, the Institute for Public Utilities, and other venues to educate stakeholders on risks of and adaptation strategies to climate change. The project will seek to support qualified under-represented minority and female STEM scholars, at both the graduate and formulative undergraduate stages, increasing diverse representation in an important STEM field.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

2142421（克雷格）。电力部门脱碳或减少二氧化碳排放是减缓气候变化的基础。在短期内，无论脱碳进展如何，气候变化都将加剧。随着气候变化加剧，它将越来越多地影响我们的天气，包括通过更多的极端事件。极端事件将对避免电力系统中断或保持系统可靠性提出新的挑战。保持可靠性对于促进人类和经济健康和福祉至关重要。该项目旨在更好地理解三个问题：（1）在气候变化的情况下，电力系统如何在提供可靠和负担得起的电力的同时脱碳？(2)气候变化将如何影响未来替代电力系统的系统可靠性？(3)在不断变化的气候条件下，有哪些策略可以进一步实现电力系统的脱碳、可负担性和可靠性？该项目的范围横跨美国本土。为了促进国家健康，繁荣和福祉，该项目将通过一系列研讨会和其他培训场所为电力系统利益相关者转化其科学进步。这个项目还将通过学生驱动的问题为研究生提供新的教育机会。PI将招募代表性不足的少数民族和女本科生和研究生，为该项目的研究做出贡献。考虑到现实世界电力系统的规模，加上深刻的气候不确定性，现有的电力系统规划方法不适合回答我们的研究问题。稳健决策（RDM）提供了一种新的方法，具有很好的能力来弥合上述领域及其不确定性，从而能够发现对气候变化具有鲁棒性的脱碳，成本效益和可靠的系统。该项目的总体目标是开发一个变革性框架，将RDM应用于下一代规划，运营和可靠性模型，以实现气候变化下的脱碳，经济高效和可靠的系统。这一目标将在美国三个主要区域互联网中的每一个上实现（即，美国）。上述研究议程将与STEM学生和电力系统利益相关者的教育计划紧密结合。教育将由一个由不同电力系统利益相关者组成的咨询委员会指导。STEM本科生和研究生的创新教育计划将联合收割机理论与实践相结合，这些理论来自小型课程，而实践则来自专注于现实世界问题的学生驱动的实验项目。利益攸关方方案编制将利用讲习班、公用事业研究所和其他场所，向利益攸关方介绍气候变化的风险和适应战略。该项目将寻求支持合格的少数民族和女性STEM学者，无论是在研究生和制定本科阶段，增加在一个重要的STEM领域的多元化代表性。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并已被认为是值得通过使用基金会的智力价值和更广泛的影响力审查标准进行评估的支持。