Behaviour under imperfect competition on markets for agricultural goods in economically less developed countries, exemplified with the rubber value chain

拟议项目的重点是在需求侧不完全竞争的背景下分析市场过程。经济主体在不同规模上的行为将在理论上建模，然后使用印度尼西亚占比省和世界天然橡胶价值链的例子进行实证检验。不同的尺度包括宏观层面上高度集中的国际贸易（“从市场定价”分析橡胶国际贸易流动），中观层面上印度尼西亚占碑省橡胶加工业内部的动态（“广义最大熵”方法分析工厂的定价策略），在微观层面上，小商人/中间商与占碑省工厂之间互动的多样性（以需求侧市场力量为特征的价值链多层次的博弈论模型）。

The focus of the proposed project is the analysis of market processes in the context of imperfect competition on the demand side. The behaviour of economic agents at various scales will be modelled theoretically, and then tested empirically using the example of the value chain of natural rubber in the Indonesian province Jambi and the world. The different scales include at the macro level the highly concentrated international trade ('Pricing To Market' analysis of international trade flows of rubber), at the meso level the dynamics within the rubber processing industry in the Indonesian province of Jambi ('generalized maximum entropy' approach for analysing the pricing strategies of factories), and at the micro level the diversity of the interactions of small traders/middlemen with factories in the province of Jambi (game theoretical modelling of multiple levels in value chains characterised by demand side market power).