Quantified impact of Holocene climate change on Neolithic development, land use, and anthropogenic emissions with feedback on climate (GLUES-QUICC)

全新世气候变化对新石器时代发展、土地利用和人为排放的量化影响以及气候反馈 (GLUES-QUICC)

• 批准号: 42267548
• 负责人: Professor Dr. Klaus Fraedrich
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Helmholtz-Zentrum hereon GmbH
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Priority Programmes
• 财政年份: 2007
• 资助国家: 德国
• 起止时间: 2006-12-31 至 2013-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/42267548?language=en
• 关键词: Quantified; impact; Holocene; climate; change

To understand the two-way interaction between past societies and Holocene climate defines a transdisciplinary research challenge. How much did climatic (in)stabilities determine where and when agriculture appeared or cultures disappeared? When did humans start to interfere with the carbon cycle? We formulate a testable framework for human-climate interaction with the model of cultural development and technological adaptation (GLUES) and the Planet Simulator climate model; palaeovegetation reconstructions from proxies are integrated into GLUES to enhance its accuracy and realism. Our study is global with two foci on Western Eurasia and China, and covers the period 11600 to 3000 years BP. By comparing palaeovegetation and archaeological data with coupled model results, we test how reliable cultural development and (adaptive) response can be integrated into the Earth system model. Our results will identify mutual feedbacks between humans and climate. Our framework promotes hypothesis testing in the archaeological sciences and quantifies land use changes and emissions required for future Earth system model studies.

要了解过去社会和全新世气候之间的双向互动，定义了一个跨学科的研究挑战。气候稳定性在多大程度上决定了农业何时何地出现或文化消失？人类是什么时候开始干扰碳循环的？我们用文化发展和技术适应模型(GLUE)和行星模拟器气候模型构建了一个可测试的人-气候相互作用框架；将来自代理人的古植被重建整合到GLUE中，以提高其准确性和真实性。我们的研究是全球性的，主要集中在欧亚大陆西部和中国，时间跨度为11600~3000年。通过将古植被和考古数据与耦合模型结果进行比较，我们测试了如何将可靠的文化发展和(适应性)响应整合到地球系统模型中。我们的结果将确定人类和气候之间的相互反馈。我们的框架促进考古科学中的假设检验，并量化未来地球系统模型研究所需的土地利用变化和排放。

项目成果

A simulation of the Neolithic transition in the Indus valley

印度河流域新石器时代过渡的模拟

• DOI: 10.1029/2012gm001217
• 期刊: ArXiv
• 作者: Lemmen C;A. Khan
• 通讯作者: A. Khan

World distribution of land cover changes during Pre- and Protohistoric Times and estimation of induced carbon releases

• DOI: 10.4000/geomorphologie.7756
• 发表时间: 2009-12
• 期刊: Geomorphologie-relief Processus Environnement
• 影响因子: 0.6
• 作者: C. Lemmen

Mid-Holocene regional reorganization of climate variability: Analyses of proxy data in the frequency domain

• DOI: 10.1016/j.palaeo.2010.09.019
• 发表时间: 2010-12
• 期刊: Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology
• 作者: K. Wirtz;G. Lohmann;K. Bernhardt;C. Lemmen

A simulation of the Neolithic transition in Western Eurasia

欧亚大陆西部新石器时代过渡的模拟

• DOI: 10.1016/j.jas.2011.08.008
• 发表时间: 2011
• 期刊: ArXiv
• 作者: Lemmen;D. Gronenborn;K.W. Wirtz
• 通讯作者: K.W. Wirtz

Holocene land-cover reconstructions for studies on land cover-climate feedbacks

• DOI: 10.5194/cp-6-483-2010
• 发表时间: 2010-01-01
• 期刊: CLIMATE OF THE PAST
• 影响因子: 4.3
• 作者: Gaillard, M. -J.;Sugita, S.;Seppa, H.
• 通讯作者: Seppa, H.