The Impact of Migration on Political and Social Beliefs

该项目旨在调查(回流)移民对劳动力市场结果以及政治和社会信仰的因果影响。在全球范围内，大约有10亿移民。然而，移民如何影响劳动力市场结果以及政治和社会信仰的因果证据仍然很少。我们的目标是通过评估巴基斯坦政府资助的国际奖学金计划来缩小这一差距，该计划每年为数百名学生的临时移民提供便利。为了建立因果效应，我们的目标是利用节目选择过程中的不连续性。申请者参加标准化测试，必须通过关键的最低分数才能被接受。我们计划收集有关劳动力市场结果以及政治信仰和偏好的主要小组数据，并将刚刚成功的申请者与刚刚失败的申请者进行比较。通过在选择决定之前、移民期间以及两年后移民返回(这是强制性的)之后对申请者进行调查，我们可以确定与留在巴基斯坦的不成功申请者相比，移民经历对成功申请者有何影响。

This project aims to investigate the causal effect of (return) migration on labor market outcomes as well as political and social beliefs. Worldwide, there are around one billion migrants. However, causal evidence of how migration influences labor market outcomes as well as political and social beliefs remains scarce. We aim to close this gap by evaluating Pakistan’s government-funded international scholarship program, which facilitates temporary migration for hundreds of students every year. To establish a causal effect, we aim to exploit a discontinuity in the program’s selection process. Applicants take part in a standardized test and must pass a critical minimum score to be accepted. We plan to collect primary panel data on labor market outcomes as well as political beliefs and preferences, and compare applicants that just succeeded to those who just failed. By surveying applicants before the selection decision, during the migration period, and then after the migrants’ return (which is mandatory) two years later, we can identify how the experience of migration affects the successful applicants in comparison to their unsuccessful counterparts who remained in Pakistan.