Coming to America: Immigration, Political Campaigning, and Polarization

来到美国：移民、政治竞选和两极分化

• 批准号: 467213010
• 负责人: Professor Dr. Axel Dreher
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Alfred-Weber-Institut für Wirtschaftswissenschaften (AWI)
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Research Grants
• 资助国家: 德国
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/467213010?language=en
• 关键词: Coming; America; Immigration; Political; Campaigning

The world and the U.S. in particular, have experienced rising political polarization and increasing migration flows in recent decades, in addition to growing cleavages around the topic of immigration (Gennaioli & Tabellini, 2019). We aim to examine the impact of immigration on political ideologies and polarization along several dimensions. In Part a), we analyze the impact of immigrants and refugees on political ideologies and polarization at the local level by considering political ideologies of political candidates, the ideological composition of campaign contributions, Pew micro survey data on political beliefs, as well as polarization in TV viewership. In Part b), we examine the political impact of immigration on 16 million campaign donors. Thereby, we advance the literature by understanding the context and conditions that determine differing political responses of individuals to immigration and refugee inflows. In Part c), we analyze the use of immigration-related political advertising and their influence on polarization. As immigration has become an important wedge issue in elections, politicians have tried to influence political outcomes by instrumentalizing immigrants in political campaigns. Understanding the conditions under which these campaigns are successful, as well as the type of donor reacting to these campaigns, will further our understanding of the role of political campaigns in the political impact of immigration. Throughout all parts, the proposed project draws on unique and previously unexploited individual-level microdata on the universe of refugees that entered the United States between 1975 and 2015, which we extend with county-level refugee data up to 2018. Moreover, we develop a new identification strategy based on an arbitrary distance threshold within which refugees without family ties in the US have to be settled. Altogether, we will examine novel questions, introduce new data, and develop new identification strategies.

世界，特别是美国，在最近几十年经历了政治两极分化加剧和移民流动增加，除了围绕移民问题的分歧越来越大（Gennaioli & Tabellini，2019）。我们的目的是研究移民对政治意识形态和两极分化的影响沿着几个方面。在第一部分中，我们通过考虑政治候选人的政治意识形态、竞选捐款的意识形态构成、皮尤关于政治信仰的微观调查数据以及电视收视率的两极分化，分析了移民和难民对地方政治意识形态和两极分化的影响。在B）部分，我们研究了移民对1600万竞选捐助者的政治影响。因此，我们通过理解确定个人对移民和难民流入的不同政治反应的背景和条件来推进文献。在第三部分，我们分析了与移民有关的政治广告的使用及其对两极分化的影响。由于移民已成为选举中的一个重要楔子问题，政客们试图通过在政治竞选中利用移民来影响政治结果。了解这些运动是成功的条件下，以及捐助者对这些运动的反应类型，将进一步我们的政治运动在移民的政治影响的作用的理解。在所有部分中，拟议的项目利用了1975年至2015年期间进入美国的难民的独特和以前未利用的个人层面的微观数据，我们将其扩展到2018年的县级难民数据。此外，我们开发了一种新的识别策略，该策略基于任意距离阈值，在该阈值内，在美国没有家庭关系的难民必须被安置。总之，我们将研究新的问题，引入新的数据，并开发新的识别策略。