Aid, Trade and International Politics: An Assessment of the Growing Influence of Emerging Economies

援助、贸易和国际政治：对新兴经济体日益增长的影响力的评估

• 批准号: 193251794
• 负责人: Professor Dr. Axel Dreher
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Alfred-Weber-Institut für Wirtschaftswissenschaften (AWI)
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Research Grants
• 财政年份: 2011
• 资助国家: 德国
• 起止时间: 2010-12-31 至 2013-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/193251794?language=en
• 关键词: Aid; Trade; International; Politics; Assessment

The project assesses empirically the growing importance of emerging economies in international trade and foreign aid. First, building on earlier work, we explore empirically factors along various dimensions (military, economic, political, social/cultural) that help us quantifying a country’s global importance. This will enable us to assess the shift in power from a bipolar world to a polycentric setting. In particular, we seek to analyze the capability of a nation to assert its interests and also to examine its vulnerability to pressure from other countries. Second, the project will examine econometrically the link between international political relations and international trade. Emerging economies are rapidly gaining in importance as trading partners for established world powers. We analyze how emerging powers use these trade interdependencies to enforce their political agenda. Emphasis will be put on the role of diplomatic and cultural ties in shaping trade patterns. Third, light will be shed on the determinants of emerging donors’ aid budgets and of their allocation of development aid. Given the lack of prior empirical research on this issue, the members of the project will start by collecting data for emerging donors’ foreign assistance. It will then be tested to which extent political factors are predominant in emerging donors’ aid flows. A particular focus will be placed on the analysis of the determinants of development aid provided by China and India, two of the most important so-called new donors.

该项目对新兴经济体在国际贸易和对外援助中日益增长的重要性进行了实证评估。首先，在早期工作的基础上，我们从经验上探索沿着各个维度（军事，经济，政治，社会/文化）的因素，帮助我们量化一个国家的全球重要性。这将使我们能够评估权力从两极世界向多中心环境的转变。特别是，我们试图分析一个国家维护其利益的能力，并研究其对其他国家压力的脆弱性。第二，本项目将从计量经济学角度研究国际政治关系与国际贸易之间的联系。新兴经济体作为老牌世界强国的贸易伙伴，其重要性正在迅速上升。我们分析新兴大国如何利用这些贸易相互依存关系来执行其政治议程。重点将放在外交和文化联系在塑造贸易模式方面的作用。第三，将阐明新捐助者援助预算及其发展援助分配的决定因素。鉴于此前缺乏对这一问题的实证研究，该项目的成员将首先收集新捐助者对外援助的数据。然后将检验政治因素在多大程度上主导新兴捐助者的援助流动。将特别着重分析中国和印度这两个最重要的所谓新捐助国提供发展援助的决定因素。