Coordination Funds

气候变化，特别是热带海洋表面温度的上升，是当今对珊瑚礁生态系统的最大威胁，并造成影响热带社会生计的极端气候。因此，评估未来变暖将如何改变珊瑚礁生态系统和热带气候变异性是极其紧迫的。超高分辨率珊瑚地球化学提供了一种工具，用于了解珊瑚和珊瑚礁对当前气候和环境变化的时间反应，重建过去的热带气候和环境变异性，并结合先进的统计方法、地球系统模型和观测到的生态系统反应，利用这些数据改进对热带气候和珊瑚礁生态系统未来变化的预测。优先方案“热带气候变异性和珊瑚礁--超高分辨率下当前变化率的过去到未来展望”(SPP 2299)旨在通过在与社会有关的时间尺度上量化持续变暖和过去暖期期间的气候和环境变化，加强我们目前对热带海洋气候变异性及其对变暖世界中珊瑚礁生态系统的影响的理解。该方案旨在提供从过去到未来关于当前变化速度的超高分辨率视角，以预测热带海洋气候变异性和珊瑚礁生态系统在变暖的世界中将如何变化。

Climate change, in particular the rise in tropical sea surface temperatures, is the greatest threat to coral reef ecosystems today and causes climatic extremes affecting the livelihood of tropical societies. Assessing how future warming will change coral reef ecosystems and tropical climate variability is therefore of extreme urgency. Ultra-high resolution coral geochemistry provides a tool to understand the temporal response of corals and coral reefs to ongoing climate and environmental change, to reconstruct past tropical climate and environmental variability and to use these data in conjunction with advanced statistical methods, earth system modelling and observed ecosystem responses for improved projections of future changes in tropical climate and coral reef ecosystems. The Priority Programme “Tropical Climate Variability and Coral Reefs - A Past to Future Perspective on Current Rates of Change at Ultra-High Resolution” (SPP 2299) aims to enhance our current understanding of tropical marine climate variability and its impact on coral reef ecosystems in a warming world, by quantifying climatic and environmental changes during both the ongoing warming and past warm periods on timescales relevant for society. The programme aims to provide an ultra-high resolution past to future perspective on current rates of change to project how tropical marine climate variability and coral reef ecosystems will change in a warming world.