Innovations in Demographic Modelling for Government Analysis and Planning

用于政府分析和规划的人口统计建模创新

• 批准号: LP210200733
• 负责人: Dr Thomas Wilson
• 金额: $ 27.71万
• 依托单位: The University of Melbourne
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Linkage Projects
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2022-09-29 至 2025-09-28
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/LP210200733
• 关键词: Innovations; Demographic; Modelling; Government; Analysis

This project aims to create innovative and cutting-edge demographic models to better meet the needs of practitioners and researchers. Together with the partner organisations, Commonwealth Treasury and the Australian Bureau of Statistics, it will focus on creating more accurate and fit-for-purpose forecasting methods for Australian fertility, mortality, and migration, including a policy scenario model to produce population projections by visa/citizenship category and Australians overseas. Expected outcomes of this project include improved forecasting methods reported in open-access papers, user-friendly forecasting software and tools for the partner organisations, and a stronger relationship between researchers and practitioners.

该项目旨在创建创新和尖端的人口模型，以更好地满足从业人员和研究人员的需求。它将与合作伙伴组织，联邦财政部和澳大利亚统计局一起，专注于为澳大利亚的生育率，死亡率和移民创造更准确和适合目的的预测方法，包括一个政策情景模型，以产生签证/公民类别和海外澳大利亚人的人口预测。该项目的预期成果包括改进开放获取论文中报告的预测方法，为伙伴组织提供用户友好的预测软件和工具，以及加强研究人员和从业人员之间的关系。