Developing Robust Small Area Population Forecasts for Planning and Policy

为规划和政策制定稳健的小区域人口预测

• 批准号: DP200101480
• 负责人: Dr Thomas Wilson
• 金额: $ 24.54万
• 依托单位: The University of Melbourne
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Projects
• 财政年份: 2020
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2020-08-03 至 2023-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DP200101480
• 关键词: Developing; Robust; Small; Area; Population

This project aims to create more robust, detailed, and accurate small area population forecasts, and implement them in a sophisticated forecasting system for one jurisdiction in Australia, USA, UK and Canada. The project is significant as it expects to generate a suite of new and innovative methods, theory, and population forecasts that will be useful to researchers and planners both in Australia and overseas. Expected outcomes include new forecasting methods, associated computer code, many open-access academic papers, and new international collaborations. More detailed and reliable population forecasts will bring substantial benefits to those planning our future infrastructure requirements (e.g. schools, hospitals, housing and transport).

该项目旨在为澳大利亚、美国、英国和加拿大的一个司法管辖区创建更强大、详细和准确的小区域人口预测，并在一个复杂的预测系统中实施。该项目意义重大，因为它预计将产生一套新的和创新的方法，理论和人口预测，这将是有用的研究人员和规划人员在澳大利亚和海外。预期成果包括新的预测方法、相关的计算机代码、许多开放获取的学术论文以及新的国际合作。更详细和可靠的人口预测，会为规划未来基建需求（例如学校、医院、房屋和交通）的人士带来重大利益。