Influcnce of Opening Japanese Rice Market

假设大米市场部分或全部开放，当前的大米价格下降一半，预计只有3%的农户能够收回生产成本，剩下的农户几乎都将面临严重的亏损。根据投入产出分析，估算了大米市场自由化对日本经济可能产生的影响，特别是对就业的影响。对总就业的影响估计将减少1，631，000个工作岗位，其中农业941，000个，服务业445，000个，制造业222，000个，建筑业11，000个。

Assuming that rice market are partially or completely opened and the current rice price is reduced by half, it is expected that only 3% of all farmers can cover their production costs, and virtually all remaining farmers will suffer serious deficits.According to the input-output analysis, the possoble repercussion of rice market liberalization on Japanese economies are estimated, especially the repercussion on employment. The impact on total employnent would be an estimated decrease of 1,631,000 jobs, 941,000 for agriculture, 445,000 for services, 222,000 for manufacturing, and 11,000 for construction.