Simulation of the Japanese Beef Economy

对分析框架进行了审查。此外，还收集了基础数据。基于这些数据和分析框架，得到以下结果：小牛市场周期的经济分析(1)这个市场具有7年周期的周期现象。(2)周期可以预测在1991年的底部附近，当时日本牛肉市场计划取消进口配额。(3)因此，物价稳定政策被审查。牛肉市场自由化的投入产出分析。(1) 25万人可能会失去工作机会，另外，6000亿日元的附加值。(2)农业、林业和渔业可能受到严重损害，但28%的失业和70%的增加值损失将集中在其他部门。因此，对就业停滞政策进行了审查。

Analytical frameworks have been examined. in addition, basic data have been collected. Based on these data and the analytical frameworks, following results have been derived.1. Economic Analysis on Calf Market's Cycle(1) This market is characterized by 7 years period cyclical phenomena.(2) The cycle can be forcasted to be around the bottom in 1991, when the Japanese beef market is scheduled to remove its import quota.(3) Thus, price stabilization policies are examined.2. Input-Output Analysis on Beef Maket Liberalization.(1) 250,000 of people might lose their job opportunity, in addition, 600,000,000,000 yen of value added.(2) Agriculture, forestry and fisheries might be seriously damaged, However, 28% of unemployment and 70% of value added loss will be concentrated in other sectors.(3) Thus enployment stalalization policies are examined.