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Theoretical and empirical analysis of the growth potential of a matured economy

成熟经济体增长潜力的理论与实证分析

基本信息

批准号：
06451102
负责人：
IMAI Haruo
金额：
$ 3.39万
依托单位：
KYOTO UNIVERSITY
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
财政年份：
1994
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
1994 至 1996
项目状态：
已结题

项目摘要

The research has been carried out through four subgroups. The summary of the research is as follows. As for the growth from the viewpoint of world and regional economies, based on an empirical research utilizing Japanese data by prefectures, a structural change in the process of change in regional differences is detected, and the effect of borders is confirmed with respect to capital movements. In the area of human capital and economic growth, empirical analysis utilizing Japanese data on promotions is carried out to suggest the existence of an effect which cannot be explained by abilities and learning alone. From the game theoretical analysis of economic institutions in an advanced economies, it has been established that through a bargaining game with coalition formation, a solution of cooperative game, valid tool a matured society, can be attained, and also that there is an advantage in being relatively less advanced in terms of technology through an applied analysis of negotition games. As to the new growth theory and stochastic growth theory, the analyzes of chaos and cycles in the optimal growth theory were collected and combined together under a general perspective, and a result on stationary sunspot equlibria was extended to the case of continuous time with predetermined exogenous variables. Through these results, our understanding of the possibility of economic growth for a matures economy is deepened from a multi-faceted viewpoints. Even though the approaches adopted in these researches are divided into two, market based analysis and others, in addition to usual distinctions of theoretical and empirical approaches, what our research really indicates is the usefulness of amalgamation of two approaches in this research area.

这项研究分四个小组进行。本文的研究总结如下。从世界经济和区域经济的角度来看，利用日本县的数据进行实证研究，发现了区域差异变化过程中的结构性变化，并证实了边界对资本流动的影响。在人力资本和经济增长领域，利用日本关于晋升的数据进行了实证分析，以表明存在一种不能仅用能力和学习来解释的影响。通过对发达经济体经济制度的博弈理论分析，通过形成联盟的议价博弈，确立了合作博弈这一成熟社会的有效工具的解，并通过对谈判博弈的应用分析，确立了技术相对落后的优势。对于新增长理论和随机增长理论，将最优增长理论中混沌和周期的分析在一般的视角下收集和结合起来，将平稳太阳黑子平衡的结果推广到具有预定外源变量的连续时间情况。通过这些结果，我们从多个角度加深了对成熟经济体经济增长可能性的理解。尽管在这些研究中采用的方法分为两种，基于市场的分析和其他，除了通常的理论和实证方法的区别之外，我们的研究真正表明的是两种方法合并在这个研究领域的有用性。