Design and Implementation of Decision Support system for Career Development

职业发展决策支持系统的设计与实现

• 批准号: 07558018
• 负责人: SHIGEMASU Kazuo
• 金额: $ 3.71万
• 依托单位: The University of Tokyo
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
• 财政年份: 1995
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1995 至 1996
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-07558018/
• 关键词: career decision making; simulation; interest; aptitude; data base; normative model; subjective probability; utility

A career guidance system based on the normative Baysian approach was designed and implemented to help students to make their own decisions. Although there has been lingering doubt about the effectiveness of the normative theory for this purpose, we believe that it does help students to know his interest, value system, his knowledge level about future possible career and establish their own identity. Moreover the system developed for this purpose has a apecial module in which students enjoy simulation for their lives. this module has some interesting functions as follows ;(1) drawing of the decision tree (2) measurement of subjective probability in terms of the probability language expressions, (3) measurement of utility via AHP,(4) suggestion of the optimal alternative by maximizing the subjective expected utility.This system was used by about 20 students and they are given a evaluation questionnaire and they considered this system to be useful. Considerable theoretical development about the relationship between the normative approach and descriptive approach was done during this period.

设计并实施了一个基于规范贝叶斯方法的职业指导系统，以帮助学生做出自己的决定。尽管规范理论在这方面的有效性一直存在疑问，但我们相信它确实有助于学生了解他的兴趣，价值体系，他对未来可能职业的知识水平，并建立自己的身份。此外，该系统开发了一个专门的模块，学生享受模拟他们的生活。这个模块有一些有趣的功能如下：（1）决策树的绘制;（2）用概率语言表示主观概率的度量;（3）用层次分析法度量效用;（四）通过最大化主观期望效用来建议最佳方案。大约20名学生使用了这个系统，他们收到了一份评估问卷，他们认为这个系统是有用的.在这一时期，关于规范方法和描述方法之间关系的理论发展已经完成。

项目成果

Norihiko Masuda and Kazuo Shigemau: "Measuring subjective Probability by means of Verbal Probability Judgment" Journal of Japan society for Fuzzy Theory and systems. vol.8 No.6. 1066-1072 (1996)

Norihiko Masuda 和 Kazuo Shigemau：“通过言语概率判断测量主观概率”日本模糊理论与系统学会杂志。

横山 明子: "コンピュータによる進路決定支援 システムの構築(2)" 帝京大学理工学部研究年報 人文編. 5. 139-166 (1995)

横山明子：《基于计算机的职业决策支持系统的构建（2）》帝京大学理工学院研究年度报告，人文版5. 139-166（1995）。