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Development of Farm Management Method and Decision Making Support System

农场管理方法及决策支持系统的开发

基本信息

批准号：
08556035
负责人：
YAGI Hironori
金额：
$ 3.9万
依托单位：
The University of Tokyo
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)
财政年份：
1996
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
1996 至 1998
项目状态：
已结题

项目摘要

During the final year of our research project, we tried to put our research results in order and to develop the logic of the system of our study, titled on The Development of Farm Management Method and Decision Making Support System. In addition to this, we arranged many farm data had got from our field surveys for three years, classified them and summarized our final report.In general, manager needs many informations internal and external of the farm to make decisions in farm management Decision-maker has to sort out those informations to make up some alternative plans, and to implement the selected best one after the evaluation of those plans. Most important points, which were found in our research project, in decision making process in farm management are summarized as follows.The first, decision making in farm management starts from making up the program of practical farm operation needed in the proper farm. Especially in the farm such as producing grain or feed crops, manager has to make decision at first in the area of timing and scale of operation, number of machineries and laborers in the farm.The second information from the cash flow statements is the most important one in addition to other financial informations. Manager has to refer to this information before anything else when lie evaluate his alternative plans in order to check if it is safety for investment for purpose of making use of his operational found profitably in fanning.The third, some indicators outside of farm has to he kept in mind when manager decision in farm management Those indicators, for example, location of plots of land, competitional situation of land market and other institutional factors for grain or feed crops farm, are the external and environmental indicators of farm that influence the decision makers. Those indicators usually bias the formula of calculating interest rate of investment in decision making process of farm manager.

在我们研究项目的最后一年，我们试图把我们的研究成果，并开发我们的研究系统的逻辑，题为农场管理方法和决策支持系统的发展。此外，我们还整理了三年来实地调查所获得的大量农场数据，并对这些数据进行了分类和总结，总结出了我们的最终报告。一般来说，农场管理者需要农场内部和外部的许多信息来进行农场管理决策，决策者必须对这些信息进行整理，以制定一些备选方案，并在对这些方案进行评估后实施所选择的最佳方案。本研究发现，在农场经营决策过程中，最重要的几点是：第一，农场经营决策是从制定合适农场所需的实际农场经营方案开始的。特别是在生产粮食或饲料作物的农场中，管理者首先要对农场的经营时机、规模、机械设备和劳动力数量等进行决策，而现金流量表中的第二信息是除其他财务信息外最重要的信息。在对备选方案进行评价时，首先要参考这些信息，以检查其投资是否安全，以便在农业生产中有效地利用其经营成果。第三，在农场管理决策时，必须考虑农场外部的一些指标，例如，地块的位置，土地市场的竞争状况以及其他制度因素是影响粮食或饲料作物农场决策者的外部环境指标。这些指标在农场经营者的决策过程中，往往会使投资利率的计算公式产生偏差。