The Impact of Independent Voters on Party System Change in Japan

独立选民对日本政党制度变革的影响

• 批准号: 10620077
• 负责人: TANAKA Aiji
• 金额: $ 1.34万
• 依托单位: Waseda University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 1998
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1998 至 1999
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-10620077/
• 关键词: Indedendents; The 1955 Party System; Party System; Partisanship; Voter Attitudes; Partison Realignment; Partison Dealignment; Public Opinion; 政治意識; 政党支持

I have examined Japanese party system from 1972 to 1996, and have found that Japanese party system was gradually transformed as the independent voters increased. In addition, Japanese party system clearly changed its nature around 1986 to 1987 when the bipolar structure of liberal-conservative or left-right division started diminishing. Given these two factors as independent variables, Japanese party system has been experiencing partisan dealignment as well as partisan realignment at the same time. It is still in its transitional period, but the transformation took place in Japanese party system will not be reversible.

笔者考察了1972年至1996年日本政党制度，发现随着独立选民的增加，日本政党制度逐渐发生了变化。此外，日本政党制度在1986年至1987年前后发生了明显的性质变化，自由保守或左右分裂的两极结构开始消失。以这两个因素为自变量，日本政党制度在经历政党去联盟化的同时，也经历了政党重组。日本政党制度仍处于转型时期，但已经发生的转型是不可逆转的。

项目成果

Aiji Tanaka: "Critical Elections of Japan in the 1990s"Waseda Political Studies. March. 25-46 (2000)

田中爱二：《20世纪90年代日本的关键选举》早稻田政治研究。

Aiji Tanaka: "Critical Elections of Japan in the 1990s"Waseda Political Studies. 1-22 (2000)

田中爱二：《20世纪90年代日本的关键选举》早稻田政治研究。

Aiji Tanaka: "Two Faces of the Japanese Electorate"Waseda Political Studies. March. 33-51 (1999)

田中爱二：《日本选民的两张面孔》早稻田政治研究。

Aiji Tanaka: "Two Faces of the Japanese Electorate"Waseda Political Studies. 33-51 (1999)

田中爱二：《日本选民的两张面孔》早稻田政治研究。

Aiji Tanaka: "A Quantitative Analysis of the Independent Voters (Japanese : Senkyo Yoronn no Suryo Bunseki-Mutoha-so no Keiryoubunseki)"Operations Research. 43-7. 369-373 (1998)

田中爱二：“独立选民的定量分析（日语：Senkyo Yoronn no Suryo Bunseki-Mutoha-so no Keiryoubunseki）”运筹学。