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An Empirical Study of Voters without Partisanship

对无党派选民的实证研究

基本信息

批准号：
02802007
负责人：
TANAKA Aiji
金额：
$ 0.77万
依托单位：
Toyo Eiwa Women's University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
1990
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
1990 至 1991
项目状态：
已结题

项目摘要

This study was based on a mail-out panel survey conducted in Midori-ward of Yokohama City in February-March 1991 and in November-December 1991. Of the original sample of 1, 006, 523 responded on the first wave, and 364 answered on the second wave.The purpose of this study was to examine nature of political independents in Japan, with special focus on independents who conscientiously or deliberately reject partisanship. For this purpose, this study tested two types of new measurement of partisanship.First, feeling thermometer scale toward political independents was created, and was asked, together with conventional feeling thermometer scales toward major parties, on the first wave survey. The results of a principal component analysis of these thermometer scales showed that three separate dimensions appeared : the conservative-progressive dimension, the middle-of-the-way parties dimension, and political independent dimension. Therefore, in the respondents' minds, political independents a … More re regarded as an independent entity.Second, a series of questions to probe the voters' independent orientation were asked on the second wave survey. The conventional measurement of partisanship has been to ask respondents if they have partisanship. Then, those respondents who do not have partisanship are categorized as independents. In other words, the residual category of partisans has been operationally defined as "independents". However, in this study, the respondents were first asked if they have any attitudes or orientation toward political independents. Only those respondents Who answered negatively would be asked about their partisanship. The comparison of the data based on this new partisan measurement and the conventional measurement indicates that the percentage of political independents is much higher on the new method (63.7%) than its percentage on the conventional method (31.2%), implying that the conventional measurement of partisanship might have underestimated the size of independents in Japan. Less

这项研究是基于1991年2月至3月和1991年11月至12月在横滨市米多里区进行的邮寄小组调查。在1006个原始样本中，523人回答了第一波，364人回答了第二波。这项研究的目的是考察日本政治独立人士的性质，特别关注那些自觉或故意拒绝党派偏见的独立人士。为此目的，本研究测试了两种新的党派倾向测量方法。第一波调查中，编制了面向政治独立人士的感受温度量表，并与传统的针对主要政党的感受温度量表一起被问及。对这些温度计量表进行主成分分析的结果显示，出现了三个不同的维度：保守-进步维度、中间党派维度和政治独立维度。因此，在受访者心目中，政治独立人士是一种…第二，在第二波调查中，提出了一系列问题来探讨选民的独立取向。衡量党派之争的传统方法是询问受访者是否存在党派之争。然后，那些没有党派色彩的受访者被归类为独立人士。换言之，剩余类别的游击队在运作上被定义为“独立派”。然而，在这项研究中，受访者首先被问及他们是否对政治独立人士有任何态度或倾向。只有那些回答否定的受访者才会被问及他们的党派偏见。基于这种新的党派测量方法和传统测量方法的数据比较表明，新方法的政治独立人士百分比(63.7%)远远高于传统方法的百分比(31.2%)，这意味着传统的党派测量方法可能低估了日本独立人士的规模。较少