Integration of Transportation Planning Process Combining with Demand Forecasting Process

交通规划流程与需求预测流程的集成

• 批准号: 11650545
• 负责人: MIYAGI Toshihiko
• 金额: $ 1.92万
• 依托单位: Gifu University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 1999
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1999 至 2000
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-11650545/
• 关键词: Transportation Planning; Demand Forecasting; Bilevel Programming Problem; SCGE Model; Transportation Equilibrium Model; MPEC Model

The first purpose of this research aims at integrating the model for combining the traditional 4-step demand-forecasting model with the economic and land-use equilibrium model. The combined land-use and transportation model developed here is not a simple simulation model but a well-defined mathematical model with rigorous economic background. Therefore, the model is suitable to incorporate in a mathematical programming with equilibrium constraints (MPEC) model. However, in this research establishing of the interrelationships of land-use/transportation model and MPEC model is insufficient.The combined model of land-use and transportation is developed based on general equilibrium approach. The model is built out a welfare maximization problem. The proof of the competitive equilibrium is also addressed. It gives the basic framework for constructing SCGE model for an urban area.The results of this research are summarized as follows :1. The existing research of land-use/transportation models and combined transportation models were reviewed systematically.2. The fundamental theory of the welfare maximization problem was introduced ; it gives a basic framework for constructing the land-use/transportation model developed in this research.3. A land-use/transportation model with rigorous economic foundations was proposed, for which the existence of competitive equilibrium was proved.4. The conventional SCGE model was extended to include the transportation network equilibrium with modal split.5. The applicability of a land-use/transportation model was examined with numerical examples.6. A calculation method of a MPEC model with transportation equilibrium conditions was proposed and an application result was examined.7. A method for constructing the database was proposed to function the SCGE model as an urban model.

本研究的第一个目的是整合传统的四步需求预测模型与经济和土地利用均衡模型相结合的模型。这里开发的土地利用和交通组合模型不是一个简单的模拟模型，而是一个具有严格经济背景的明确定义的数学模型。因此，该模型适合纳入具有平衡约束的数学规划（MPEC）模型中。然而，本研究中对土地利用/交通模型和MPEC模型之间相互关系的建立还不够。土地利用和交通组合模型是基于一般均衡方法建立的。该模型是根据福利最大化问题构建的。还讨论了竞争均衡的证明。给出了构建城市地区SCGE模型的基本框架。本研究的结果概括如下： 1．对现有土地利用/交通模型和组合交通模型的研究进行了系统回顾。 2．介绍了福利最大化问题的基本理论；它为构建本研究开发的土地利用/交通模型提供了基本框架。3．提出了具有严格经济基础的土地利用/交通模型，并证明了竞争均衡的存在性。 4．传统的SCGE模型被扩展以包括模态分割的交通网络平衡。5．通过数值算例检验了土地利用/交通模型的适用性。6．提出了一种具有运输平衡条件的MPEC模型的计算方法，并检验了应用结果。 7．提出了一种数据库构建方法，将SCGE模型用作城市模型。

项目成果

Keiichi Ogawa, Takamasa Akiyama: "An Empirical Method of Calibration of Density-Speed Relationships in Traffic Simulation Model"Proceedings of Infrastructure Planning. 23(1). 395-398 (2000)

Keiichi Okawa、Takamasa Akiyama：“交通仿真模型中密度-速度关系校准的经验方法”基础设施规划论文集。

Arben Shasho: "Dynamic Traffic Assignment Models : An Outer-Inner Loop Assignment Model"8th Meeting of the Euro Working Group Trnasportation EWGT Workshop IFPR on Management of Industrial Logistic Systems Proceedings. 175-180 (2000)

Arben Shasho：“动态交通分配模型：外环-内环分配模型”欧洲工作组运输 EWGT 研讨会 IFPR 关于工业物流系统管理的第八次会议。

Toshihiko Miyagi, Keiichi Ogawa: "A Mixed Complementarity Formulation for Integration of Freight Network Equilibrium Model and Multiregional General Equilibrium Model"Presented Paper of the 6th World Congress of the Regional Science Association Internatio

Toshihiko Miyagi、Keiichi Okawa：“A Mixed Complementarity Formulation for Integration of Freight Network Equilibrium Model and Multiregional General Equilibrium Model”在国际区域科学协会第六届世界大会上发表论文

Arben Shasho, Toshihiko Miyagi: "Dynamic Traffic Assignment Models : An Outer-Inner Loop Assignment Model"8th Meeting of the Euro Working Group Transportation EWGT Workshop IFPR on Management of Industrial Logistic Systems Proceedings. 175-180 (2000)

Arben Shasho、Toshihiko Miyagi：“动态交通分配模型：外环分配模型”欧洲工作组运输 EWGT 工业物流系统管理研讨会 IFPR 第八次会议。

Fauzy Ammari: "Heath Care Facilities Location Model with Genetic Algorithm"Jounal of Eastern Asian Society of Transport Studies. 3・4. 55-69 (1999)

Fauzy Ammari：“遗传算法的医疗保健设施位置模型”东亚交通研究学会杂志 3・4（1999 年）。