Integration of Transportation Planning Process Combining with Demand Forecasting Process

交通规划流程与需求预测流程的集成

• 批准号: 11650545
• 负责人: MIYAGI Toshihiko
• 金额: $ 1.92万
• 依托单位: Gifu University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 1999
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1999 至 2000
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-11650545/
• 关键词: Transportation Planning; Demand Forecasting; Bilevel Programming Problem; SCGE Model; Transportation Equilibrium Model; MPEC Model

The first purpose of this research aims at integrating the model for combining the traditional 4-step demand-forecasting model with the economic and land-use equilibrium model. The combined land-use and transportation model developed here is not a simple simulation model but a well-defined mathematical model with rigorous economic background. Therefore, the model is suitable to incorporate in a mathematical programming with equilibrium constraints (MPEC) model. However, in this research establishing of the interrelationships of land-use/transportation model and MPEC model is insufficient.The combined model of land-use and transportation is developed based on general equilibrium approach. The model is built out a welfare maximization problem. The proof of the competitive equilibrium is also addressed. It gives the basic framework for constructing SCGE model for an urban area.The results of this research are summarized as follows :1. The existing research of land-use/transportation models and combined transportation models were reviewed systematically.2. The fundamental theory of the welfare maximization problem was introduced ; it gives a basic framework for constructing the land-use/transportation model developed in this research.3. A land-use/transportation model with rigorous economic foundations was proposed, for which the existence of competitive equilibrium was proved.4. The conventional SCGE model was extended to include the transportation network equilibrium with modal split.5. The applicability of a land-use/transportation model was examined with numerical examples.6. A calculation method of a MPEC model with transportation equilibrium conditions was proposed and an application result was examined.7. A method for constructing the database was proposed to function the SCGE model as an urban model.

本研究的目的一是整合传统的四阶段需求预测模型与经济与土地利用平衡模型。本文所建立的土地利用与交通相结合的模型不是一个简单的模拟模型，而是一个具有严格经济背景的数学模型。因此，该模型是适合纳入一个数学规划与平衡约束（MPEC）模型。然而，本研究在建立土地利用/交通模型与MPEC模型之间的相互关系方面还存在不足，本文基于一般均衡方法建立了土地利用与交通的组合模型。该模型是从一个福利最大化问题出发建立的.竞争均衡的证明也得到了解决。本文的主要研究成果如下：1.建立了城市区域SCGE模型的基本框架。系统地回顾了土地利用/交通模型和综合交通模型的研究现状.介绍了福利最大化问题的基本理论，给出了构建本研究中土地利用/交通模型的基本框架.建立了具有严格经济基础的土地利用/交通模型，证明了竞争均衡的存在性.对传统SCGE模型进行扩展，使其包含了考虑方式分离的交通网络均衡.土地利用/交通模型的适用性进行了检查与数值例子.提出了一种具有运输平衡条件的MPEC模型的计算方法，并对应用结果进行了检验.为了使SCGE模型具有城市模型的功能，提出了一种数据库的构建方法。

项目成果

Keiichi Ogawa, Takamasa Akiyama: "An Empirical Method of Calibration of Density-Speed Relationships in Traffic Simulation Model"Proceedings of Infrastructure Planning. 23(1). 395-398 (2000)

Keiichi Okawa、Takamasa Akiyama：“交通仿真模型中密度-速度关系校准的经验方法”基础设施规划论文集。

Arben Shasho: "Dynamic Traffic Assignment Models : An Outer-Inner Loop Assignment Model"8th Meeting of the Euro Working Group Trnasportation EWGT Workshop IFPR on Management of Industrial Logistic Systems Proceedings. 175-180 (2000)

Arben Shasho：“动态交通分配模型：外环-内环分配模型”欧洲工作组运输 EWGT 研讨会 IFPR 关于工业物流系统管理的第八次会议。

Toshihiko Miyagi, Keiichi Ogawa: "A Mixed Complementarity Formulation for Integration of Freight Network Equilibrium Model and Multiregional General Equilibrium Model"Presented Paper of the 6th World Congress of the Regional Science Association Internatio

Toshihiko Miyagi、Keiichi Okawa：“A Mixed Complementarity Formulation for Integration of Freight Network Equilibrium Model and Multiregional General Equilibrium Model”在国际区域科学协会第六届世界大会上发表论文

Arben Shasho, Toshihiko Miyagi: "Dynamic Traffic Assignment Models : An Outer-Inner Loop Assignment Model"8th Meeting of the Euro Working Group Transportation EWGT Workshop IFPR on Management of Industrial Logistic Systems Proceedings. 175-180 (2000)

Arben Shasho、Toshihiko Miyagi：“动态交通分配模型：外环分配模型”欧洲工作组运输 EWGT 工业物流系统管理研讨会 IFPR 第八次会议。

Takaji Suzuki: "The Second-Best Pricing Problem for Urban Transit Systems with Environmental Constraints"Urban Transport and Environment. 13-22 (1999)

Takaji Suzuki：“受环境约束的城市交通系统的第二最佳定价问题”城市交通与环境。