A Comprehensive Study of Estimation of Input-Output Systems in Russia and Uzbekistan

1.俄罗斯1995-1997年投入产出表的编制和安排：首先，我按照1995-1997年投入产出数据库编制了1998年投入产出表。根据这一结果，我将最后确定1999年投入产出表的估计数。应当指出，由于俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司提供的数据，1998年投入产出表及其附加表中的天然气生产、消费和分配情况有了明显改善。乌兹别克斯坦1997-1998年投入产出表的编制和估算：继1997年投入产出表(供应表和使用表)之后，我完成了1998年投入产出表的编制工作。1998年制度包括贸易保证金汇总表、进口汇总表、运输汇总表和税净汇总表。1998年的投入产出表是按基本价格和购买者价格编制的，而1997年的表格只按购买者价格编制。运用贸易保证金矩阵的分析：在1997年贸易保证金矩阵的基础上进行改进，进一步利用1998年的贸易保证金矩阵进行分析。自1998年俄罗斯遭遇金融危机以来，危机与贸易保证金之间的关系。俄罗斯和乌兹别克斯坦投入产出表的比较分析：对俄罗斯和乌兹别克斯坦投入产出表编制的背景进行了比较分析。俄罗斯的体系有一个缺陷，那就是缺少使用表，而乌兹别克斯坦的体系则存在GDP数据和投入产出数据不一致的问题。一份包括这些结果的论文被提交给在华盛顿特区举行的AAASS全国大会。

1. Compilation and arrangements of Russia's input-output tables for 1995-1997 :First, I compiled 1998 input-output tables, which follow the input-output database for 1995-1997. Following this result, I am going to finalize an estimate of 1999 input-output tables. It should be noted that the production, consumption and distribution of natural gas in the 1998 input-output tables and their supplementary tables were markedly improved thanks to Gazprom's data supply.2. Compilation and Estimations of Uzbekistan's input-output tables for 1997-1998 :Following the 1997 input-output tables (supply and use tables), I completed the compilation of 1998 input-output tables. The 1998 system include a trade margin matrix, an import matrix, a transportation matrix and a net tax matrix. The 1998 input-output tables were compiled at both basic and purchasers' prices while the 1997 tables were compiled only at purchasers' prices.3. An analysis employing trade margin matrixes : Improving the analysis based on the 1997 trade margin matrix, I further developed the analysis by using the 1998 trade margin matrix. Since Russia met a financial crisis in 1998, the relationship between the crisis and the trade margins.4. A comparative analysis on input-output tables in Russia and Uzbekistan : I made a comparative analysis on the backgrounds of input-output tables in Russia and Uzbekistan. Russia's system has a drawback in missing the use table while Uzbekistan's table suffers from inconsistencies between GDP data and input-output data. A paper including these results were submitted to the AAASS national convention in Washington DC.