Welfare foundations of cost benefit analysis under uncertain, dynamic and multiregional economy

不确定、动态、多区域经济下成本效益分析的福利基础

基本信息

  • 批准号:
    17360242
  • 负责人:
  • 金额:
    $ 6.79万
  • 依托单位:
  • 依托单位国家:
    日本
  • 项目类别:
    Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
  • 财政年份:
    2005
  • 资助国家:
    日本
  • 起止时间:
    2005 至 2007
  • 项目状态:
    已结题

项目摘要

This study aims to explore the relationships between the definition of benefit, its measurement methods, its consistency with utility level and compensation test under uncertain, dynamic and /or multiregional economy. The main results are summarized as follows.1. Benefit definition, its measurability and its consistency with compensation test under uncertainty: It proposes to apply the concept of Allais Surplus to the definition of benefit under uncertainty, and shows that (1) the proposed definition is consistent with both the expected utility and compensation test; (2) it is measurable by observing the individual behaviors of disaster prevention investments.2. Benefit measurement formula for multiregional (dynamic) economy:(1) It shows that the reason that new transportation project induces further congestion deterioration is due to the existence of agglomeration economy, and that for measuring total transportation project benefits it needs to measure not only the transportation user … More (dis) benefits but also agglomeration benefits. (2) It shows that without small and open assumption the total benefit of local public goods can be measured by the change in land prices. (3) It improves the transportation benefit measurement formula by explicitly expressing the transportation activities as a economic sector within the framework of SCGE.3. Macro economic evaluation of global warming mitigation policies under dynamic economy: (1) it develops the modified RICE model where Japan is treated as one region, and (2) defines benefits=GDP+WTP, cost=investment, net benefit=consumption, then (3) develops the algorism within the optimization problem framework for simulating the business as usual situation, and (4) carries out the sensitivity analysis on the pure time preference rate and elasticity of marginal utility with respect to consumption.4. Evaluation model under dynamic and uncertain economy: (1) It develops the pre and intermediate evaluation models with explicit inclusion of stop and pause options for a public project, and (2) shows methods to measure the economic value for such options Less
本研究旨在探讨不确定、动态和多区域经济条件下效益的定义、计量方法、与效用水平的一致性以及补偿检验之间的关系。主要研究结果如下:1.不确定性条件下的效益定义、可度量性及其与补偿检验的一致性:提出将Allais剩余的概念应用于不确定性条件下的效益定义,并表明:(1)所提出的定义与期望效用和补偿检验都是一致的;(2)可通过观察防灾投资的个体行为来度量。多区域(动态)经济效益测度公式:(1)表明新的交通项目导致交通拥堵进一步恶化的原因是集聚经济的存在,要测度交通项目的总效益,不仅要测度交通使用者 ...更多信息 (dis)也有聚集的好处。(2)研究表明,在没有小的开放性假设的情况下,地方公共产品的总收益可以通过土地价格的变化来衡量。(3)它改进了运输效益计量公式,明确地将运输活动表示为专家组框架内的一个经济部门。动态经济下减缓全球变暖政策的宏观经济评价:(1)将日本作为一个地区,开发了修正的RICE模型,(2)定义了效益=GDP+WTP,成本=投资,净效益=消费,(3)在最优化问题框架内开发了模拟正常情况的算法,(4)对纯时间偏好率和边际效用对消费的弹性进行了敏感性分析.动态不确定经济条件下的评价模型:(1)建立了明确包含公共项目停止和暂停选项的前期和中期评价模型,(2)给出了此类选项经济价值的度量方法。

项目成果

期刊论文数量(0)
专著数量(0)
科研奖励数量(0)
会议论文数量(0)
专利数量(0)
The Locations of Individual NIMBY Facilities Built by Neighboring Communities and Urban Configuration
邻近社区建设的个别邻避设施位置及城市结构
人的投資を考慮した人口減少国と増加国の2国経済成長モデル
考虑人力投资的人口减少和增加国家的两国经济增长模型
  • DOI:
  • 发表时间:
    2007
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    0
  • 作者:
    河野達仁;野添孝敬;Hisa Morisugi and Fabien Leurent;河野達仁・宮原史・森杉壽芳;安藤朝夫
  • 通讯作者:
    安藤朝夫
Are the Plural Airports Necessary in the Region?: Numerical Analysis of the Aviation Markets Considering Access Cost and the Economies of Traffic Density
该地区是否需要多个机场?:考虑通行成本和交通密度经济的航空市场数值分析
  • DOI:
  • 发表时间:
    2007
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    0
  • 作者:
    Asao Ando;Tadahiro Ohashi
  • 通讯作者:
    Tadahiro Ohashi
Equilibrium Dynamics of Interregional Migration Timing Decision in Agglomeration Economies
集聚经济中区域间迁移时机决策的均衡动力学
A Study on Infrastructure as Adaptation Policy to Global Warming
基础设施作为全球变暖适应政策的研究
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MORISUGI Hisayoshi其他文献

MORISUGI Hisayoshi的其他文献

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{{ truncateString('MORISUGI Hisayoshi', 18)}}的其他基金

transportation project finance with marginal cost of public funds
公共资金边际成本的交通项目融资
  • 批准号:
    20360225
  • 财政年份:
    2008
  • 资助金额:
    $ 6.79万
  • 项目类别:
    Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
Transportation Benefit Measurement under the Second Best Economy
第二佳经济下的交通效益测算
  • 批准号:
    14350273
  • 财政年份:
    2002
  • 资助金额:
    $ 6.79万
  • 项目类别:
    Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
Model development for comprehensive evaluation of global warming policies with special attention to transportation sectors
开发全球变暖政策综合评估模型,特别关注交通部门
  • 批准号:
    11555137
  • 财政年份:
    1999
  • 资助金额:
    $ 6.79万
  • 项目类别:
    Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
Development of Unified Demand Forecast Models for National Land-use Planning
国家土地利用规划统一需求预测模型的开发
  • 批准号:
    10450186
  • 财政年份:
    1998
  • 资助金额:
    $ 6.79万
  • 项目类别:
    Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B).
STUDY ON DEMAND FORECAST AND BENEFIT ESTIMATE FOR TOURISM PROJECT
旅游项目需求预测及效益估算研究
  • 批准号:
    03650432
  • 财政年份:
    1991
  • 资助金额:
    $ 6.79万
  • 项目类别:
    Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)
Defayment Method of Transport Project Cost by Using Benefit Incidence Matrix
运用效益关联矩阵的交通工程成本抵销方法
  • 批准号:
    01550415
  • 财政年份:
    1989
  • 资助金额:
    $ 6.79万
  • 项目类别:
    Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)
A Comprehensive Method with Endogenous Land Price for Forecasting Residential Location and Estimating Neighborhood Benefits
一种内生土地价格预测住宅区位和估算邻里效益的综合方法
  • 批准号:
    61550380
  • 财政年份:
    1986
  • 资助金额:
    $ 6.79万
  • 项目类别:
    Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)
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