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An Analysis on Various Types of Economic Reforms and Evolutionary Game Theory-Comparative Analysis of China with Central and Eastern Europe and Russia-

各类经济改革分析与演化博弈论-中国与中东欧、俄罗斯的比较分析-

基本信息

批准号：
17530213
负责人：
MORITA Ken
金额：
$ 1.71万
依托单位：
Hiroshima University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
2005
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2005 至 2007
项目状态：
已结题

项目摘要

The research on this project was implemented with mainly focusing on the systemic transition in China by comparing to the situations in Central and Eastern Europe and Russia.Various results gained by this research, particularly on the Chinese characteristic features taking into consideration Central and Eastern Europe and Russia, are the following five; (1) regarding both China as a whole and particular region including Shanghai, Zhejiang and Jiangsu in the Yangtze River Delta, we could easily recognize the “path dependence" phenomena. (2)The characteristic features on both China as a whole and the particular region are the “Chinese people" human network. (3) The existence of “path dependence" means the existence of “introversion", which also shows the obstacle against close relationships with foreign countries and foreign regions. In this research, we have tried to explain the obstacles shown by foreign direct investment cases. (4) From viewpoints of the neo-institutionalism, it is pointed out that to break away from “path dependence" is necessary to transform from “introversion" to “extroversion". (5) By investigating the Chinese economic model and Chinese political model, we could recognize complicated relationships between “market failure" and “government failure" and also recognize the Chinese logic of change in the “authoritarian development system".This research has been also concentrated on Chinese peoples' behaviors. By studying with the evolutionary game approach, behaviors of Chinese participants in futures markets seem to be consistent with the hypothesis of “behavioral finance" theory. Also we could show that the futures markets in Shanghai and Zhengzhou have been rather efficient.With such mentioned research results, we could insist that the tendency towards market oriented system in China has been successfully in progress.

本课题的研究主要是通过与中东欧国家和俄罗斯的比较，对中国的制度变迁进行研究，取得了以下五个方面的成果，特别是对中国特色的制度变迁进行了研究：（1）无论是从中国整体来看，还是从长江三角洲地区的上海、浙江、江苏等特定区域来看，都存在“路径依赖”现象。（2）无论是中国整体还是区域的特征都是“中国人”的人际网络。(3)“路径依赖”的存在意味着“内向性”的存在，也表现为与国外、国外地区关系的障碍。在本研究中，我们试图解释外国直接投资案例所显示的障碍。(4)从新制度主义的观点出发，指出要摆脱“路径依赖”，必须实现从“内向型”向“外向型”的转变。(5)通过对中国经济模式和中国政治模式的考察，我们可以认识到“市场失灵”和“政府失灵”之间的复杂关系，也可以认识到中国“威权发展体制”变革的逻辑。通过演化博弈分析，中国期货市场参与者的行为似乎符合“行为金融”理论的假设。同时，我们也可以看到上海和郑州的期货市场已经相当有效率，通过以上的研究结果，我们可以认为中国的市场化进程已经取得了成功。