The Dynamics of Voting: A Long-term Study of Change and Stability in the German Electoral Process

该申请旨在资助德国纵向选举研究（GLES）的最终确定和移交，为期两年。第三个资助期2015-2017涵盖数据收集，但不包括2017年9月联邦选举的分析和出版期。此外，从2021年联邦选举开始，GESIS将获得有保证和稳定的资金，并将成功地制度化。全球卫星导航系统向全球地理信息系统的移交需要认真准备和配合。项目的最后阶段（2018-2019）旨在实现三个目标：科学分析和发表，2009-2017年数据整合，以及将GLES移交给GESIS。分析和出版物的科学目标是核心，只要求为工作人员提供资金，而不是为数据收集提供资金。随着第三次联邦选举被全球监测系统和各自的数据收集所涵盖，研究的目标是利用全部数据制作两卷：一卷面向德国市场，一卷面向国际读者，以及一些期刊文章。对整个项目有效的指导性问题旨在确定在不断变化的政治环境中不断变化的选民的条件。GLES项目以这些现象为出发点，对选民如何应对日益复杂的德国选举政治以及这些发展对德国政党制度动态和代议制民主质量的影响进行了全面的纵向分析。因此，GLES将单次选举视为纵向多级设计中的情况。它结合了对投票行为的调查，通过对媒体、候选人和竞选活动的分析，并通过涵盖竞选期间和选举之间的时间，调查投票背景的关键维度。在基础设施方面，这个迄今为止最全面的德国选举研究项目所产生的所有数据都被视为一种公共产品，并立即提供给所有感兴趣的社会科学家。

This application aims at funding of the finalization and handover of the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES) for two years. The third funding period 2015-2017 covers the data collections but not the period for analyses and publication about the Federal Elections in Sept. 2017. In addition, GLES will become successfully institutionalized with a guaranteed and stable funding at GESIS starting with the Federal Elections 2021. The handover of the GLES to GESIS needs careful preparation and cooperation. The final period of the project 2018-2019 aims at three goals: scientific analyses and publications, consolidation of the data 2009-2017, and handover of the GLES to GESIS. The scientific goal of analyses and publications are at the core, funding is only requested for staff not for data collection. With the third Federal Election covered by the GLES and the respective data collection research aims at using the full range of data for producing two volumes: one for the German market and one for the international audience, and a number of journal articles. The guiding question, valid for the whole project aims to determine the conditions of the changing voter in a changing political environment. The GLES project took these phenomena as points of departure for a comprehensive longitudinal analysis of how voters cope with the increasing complexity of German electoral politics and of the repercussions of these developments for the dynamics of the party system and for the quality of representative democracy in Germany. Therefore, GLES treats single elections as cases in a longitudinal multi-level design. It combines surveys about voting behaviour with investigating key dimensions of the context within which votes are cast by means of analyses of media, candidates, and campaigns, and by covering both campaign periods and the time in-between elections. With regard to infrastructure, all data generated by this hitherto most comprehensive program of German electoral research are treated as a public good and made immediately accessible to all interested social scientists.