Collaborator-designed agent-based models to inform alcohol-involved sexual violence prevention on college campuses.

项目摘要 尽管在过去十年中受到越来越多的关注，但涉及酒精的性暴力仍然普遍存在 在大学校园里。现有的干预措施，包括旁观者培训，教育计划， 干预措施，采取基本上全球性的办法来预防有害的酒精使用和性暴力， 而在很大程度上忽视了饮酒发生的社会和情境背景。结合校园 可能需要政策、行为干预和社区层面的干预来解决这一复杂问题 问题.涉及酒精的性暴力可以被概念化为一个系统， 不同的个人层面的行为，以及在上下文和行为之间。基于代理的模型（ABM） 一种方法论工具，可以将行为，社会和结构环境之间的动态结合起来 及其对危险饮酒和性暴力的影响。它们可以用来模拟 在广泛的大学校园和人群中实施干预措施。的有用性 然而，给定的ABM受限于其准确性、焦点和对最终用户的显著性。一个与世隔绝的人 模型构建过程大大增强了明确说明 动态过程该提案的总体目标是创建一个由业主设计的反弹道导弹， 作为一种决策支持工具，帮助校园减少学生中涉及酒精的性暴力。到 为了实现这一目标，我们将首先开发一个由消费者设计的危险饮酒系统模型SV， 通过一系列参与者参与的模型建设， 由核心建模团队指导的会议（目标1）。我们将利用校园的学习协作 利益相关者，包括学生，来自健康和咨询中心的从业人员，第九条协调员， 住宅顾问等，从一个正在进行的酒精涉及SV RCT涉及28所大学校园 在宾夕法尼亚州和西弗吉尼亚州招募60名学生和非学生利益相关者专家， 模型构建组。然后，综合系统模型将转化为酒精使用的ABM， 性暴力使用ABM平台与现实的合成人口，提供人口 社区模拟基金会（重建流行病学动态框架 （FRED））（目标2）。然后，我们将制定和评估知情者知情的反弹道导弹的初步可行性， 基于决策支持工具，以优化校园干预，以减少酒精涉及的性暴力 （探索目标3）。这种创新的、基于实践的方法，使用企业主参与的建模， 设计了一个ABM和基于ABM的决策支持工具，可以指导校园层面的政策和方案 改变，导致更好地执行有效的战略，以解决酒精参与的性行为， 在学生中推广预防战略，并促进校园一级的政策变革。

PROJECT ABSTRACT Despite increased attention over the past decade, alcohol-involved sexual violence continues to be widespread on college campuses. Existing interventions, which include bystander training, education programs, and brief interventions, take an essentially global approach to the prevention of harmful alcohol use and sexual violence, and largely neglect the social and situational contexts in which drinking occurs. A combination of campus policies, behavioral interventions, and community-level interventions are likely needed to address this complex problem. Alcohol-involved sexual violence can be conceptualized as a system with feedback loops between various individual-level behaviors as well as between contexts and behaviors. Agent-based models (ABMs) are a methodological tool that can incorporate dynamics between behavioral, social, and structural environments and their impacts on hazardous alcohol use and sexual violence. They can be used to simulate the implementation of intervention(s) across a wide range of college campuses and populations. The usefulness of a given ABM, however, is limited by its accuracy, focus, and salience to end users. A stakeholder-engaged model-building process greatly enhances the relevance and usefulness of models that explicitly account for dynamic processes. The overall goal of this proposal is to create a stakeholder-designed ABM that can serve as a decision support tool to help campuses reduce alcohol-involved sexual violence among students. To achieve this goal, we will first develop a stakeholder-designed systems model of hazardous drinking, SV, and intervention opportunities on college campuses through a series of stakeholder-engaged model building sessions guided by a Core Modeling Team (Aim 1). We will leverage a learning collaborative of campus stakeholders including students, practitioners from health and counseling centers, Title IX coordinators, residential counselors, and so forth, from an ongoing alcohol-involved SV RCT involving 28 college campuses in Pennsylvania and West Virginia to recruit 60 student and non-student stakeholder experts to 6 stakeholder model building groups. The integrated systems model will be then translated into an ABM of alcohol use and sexual violence using an ABM platform with realistic synthetic populations that provides a population foundation for community-based simulations (The Framework for Reconstructing Epidemiologic Dynamics (FRED)) (Aim 2). We will then develop and assess the preliminary feasibility of stakeholder-informed, ABM- based decision support tools to optimize campus interventions to reduce alcohol-involved sexual violence (Exploratory Aim 3). This innovative, empirically-based approach, using stakeholder-engaged modeling to design an ABM and ABM-based decision support tools, can guide campus-level policy and programmatic changes, leading to improved implementation of effective strategies to address alcohol-involved sexual violence, promote prevention strategies among students, and stimulate campus-level policy changes.