Judgements and Decisions under Ambiguity and Conflict

尽管在真实的决策情况中经常出现模糊性和冲突，但人们在面对模糊和冲突的信息所产生的不确定性时如何做出决策却知之甚少。事实上，关于冲突和模糊性对风险和不确定性的判断或对决策偏好的联合影响，几乎一无所知。该项目将研究信息中的冲突和模糊性如何共同影响对不确定性的感知，开发和测试冲突和模糊性下的判断和决策的正式模型，并研究模糊性和冲突规避对决策的联合影响。

Little is known about how people make decisions when faced with uncertainties arising from information that is both ambiguous and conflicting, despite the fact that ambiguity and conflict frequently arise in real decision-making situations. In fact, virtually nothing is known about the joint impact of conflict and ambiguity on judgements of risk and uncertainty or on decisional preferences. This project will investigate how perceptions of uncertainty are jointly affected by conflict and ambiguity in information, develop and test formal models of judgement and decision making under conflict and ambiguity, and examine the joint effects of ambiguity and conflict aversion on decision making.