Modelling Landscapes for Resilient Pollination Services in the UK

英国弹性授粉服务景观建模

• 批准号: BB/R00580X/1
• 负责人: Simon Potts
• 金额: $ 76.59万
• 依托单位: University of Reading
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2017
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2017 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=BB%2FR00580X%2F1
• 关键词: Modelling; Landscapes; Resilient; Pollination; Services

Pollination services by wild insects, such as bees and hoverflies, can increase the total output of UK crop production by hundreds of millions of pounds annually. Changes in climate and land use can cause populations of these wild insects to decline and can displace certain species from their natural range. As a result, the pollination services provided by a community may decline or become very reliant upon a few key species. This greatly increases the economic risk posed to farmers, suppliers, retailers and consumers by further losses of pollinators, either as sudden, one time shocks or through the gradual impacts of pressures over a longer period. Changes to the landscape that affect pollinator populations will also affect the aesthetic and cultural value of the landscape for different people, potentially making them more or less willing to undertake measures to support pollinators, such as planting wildflower strips. At present, the exact impacts of various landscape and climate changes on pollinator populations and the pollination services they provide remains unknown.This project, involving a team of ecologists, economists and sociologists, builds on data collected from several other studies to measure and map the current availability of pollination services, including their economic benefits, across the UK and how resilient they are to plausible future changes in the physical or economic environment. The project is divided into four work packages: work package 1 will develop new methods to map pollinator populations across the UK, based on existing data and estimate the economic value of these pollinator populations. work package 2 will use existing data, and a small amount of new data, to examine the links between pollinator visits and economic output in four major UK crops (apples, strawberries, oilseed rape and field beans), and identify the key tipping points where services will be inadequate. work package 3 will use innovative social science techniques to examine how changes in the landscape that affect pollinators will impact upon different people's cultural values for those landscapes. Finally, work package 4 will work with stakeholders (e.g. farmers, policy makers, retailers) to develop a series of realistic and relevant future scenarios that each consider changes in: i) the climate; ii) markets for different crops (which affects how much is planted); and, iii) wider land use. Combining information from all of the work packages, the project will examine how these changing conditions will affect pollinator populations, the economic benefits of the pollination services they provide and the impacts that changes in the landscape affecting pollinators will have on social values. The project will then examine the capacity of pollinator populations to recover their service providing potential after sudden events (e.g. extreme weather) under each scenario, as well as the vulnerability of crop markets to declines in pollinated crop production abroad. Throughout, the project will be supported by a steering committee of stakeholders who will work with the project team to ensure the outcomes are the most realistic and relevant to UK food systems. The projects outcomes, including detailed maps of pollinator populations and pollination services across the UK under current and future conditions and new information on people's landscape preferences, will be used to produce new outreach materials (in collaboration with a specialist artist), policy briefs and discussion workshops for a wide range of stakeholders.

蜜蜂和食蚜蝇等野生昆虫的授粉服务每年可使英国农作物总产量增加数亿磅。气候和土地利用的变化可能导致这些野生昆虫的数量减少，并可能使某些物种离开其自然范围。因此，社区提供的授粉服务可能会减少或变得非常依赖于一些关键物种。这大大增加了授粉媒介的进一步损失给农民、供应商、零售商和消费者带来的经济风险，无论是突然的、一次性的冲击还是长期压力的逐步影响。影响传粉昆虫种群的景观变化也会影响不同人群对景观的审美和文化价值，可能使他们或多或少愿意采取措施支持传粉昆虫，例如种植野花带。目前，各种景观和气候变化对授粉昆虫种群及其提供的授粉服务的确切影响仍不清楚。该项目由生态学家、经济学家和社会学家组成的团队组成，以从其他几项研究中收集的数据为基础，测量和绘制英国各地授粉服务当前的可用性，包括其经济效益，以及它们对未来物理或经济环境可能发生的变化的适应能力。该项目分为四个工作包：工作包 1 将开发新方法，根据现有数据绘制英国各地的授粉昆虫种群图，并估计这些授粉昆虫种群的经济价值。工作包2将使用现有数据和少量新数据来研究传粉媒介访问与英国四种主要作物（苹果、草莓、油菜和菜豆）经济产出之间的联系，并确定服务不足的关键临界点。工作包3将利用创新的社会科学技术来研究影响授粉媒介的景观变化将如何影响不同人们对这些景观的文化价值观。最后，工作包 4 将与利益相关者（例如农民、政策制定者、零售商）合作，制定一系列现实且相关的未来情景，每个情景都考虑以下方面的变化： i) 气候； ii) 不同作物的市场（影响种植量）； iii) 更广泛的土地利用。结合所有工作包的信息，该项目将研究这些变化的条件将如何影响授粉媒介种群、它们提供的授粉服务的经济效益以及影响授粉媒介的景观变化对社会价值的影响。然后，该项目将研究每种情况下授粉昆虫种群在突发事件（例如极端天气）后恢复其服务提供潜力的能力，以及作物市场对国外授粉作物产量下降的脆弱性。在整个过程中，该项目将得到利益相关者指导委员会的支持，他们将与项目团队合作，确保结果最现实且与英国粮食系统相关。该项目的成果，包括当前和未来条件下英国各地授粉媒介和授粉服务的详细地图，以及有关人们景观偏好的新信息，将用于为广泛的利益相关者制作新的外展材料（与专业艺术家合作）、政策简报和讨论研讨会。

项目成果

Characterisation model approach for LCA to estimate land use impacts on pollinator abundance and illustrative characterisation factors

LCA 的表征模型方法，用于估计土地利用对传粉媒介丰度的影响和说明性表征因子

• DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.131043
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: Journal of Cleaner Production
• 影响因子: 11.1
• 作者: Alejandre E

Linking farmer and beekeeper preferences with ecological knowledge to improve crop pollination

• DOI: 10.1002/pan3.10055
• 发表时间: 2019-12-01
• 期刊: PEOPLE AND NATURE
• 影响因子: 6.1
• 作者: Breeze, Tom D.;Boreux, Virginie;Kleijn, David
• 通讯作者: Kleijn, David

Using ecological and field survey data to establish a national list of the wild bee pollinators of crops

• DOI: 10.1016/j.agee.2021.107447
• 发表时间: 2021-04-15
• 期刊: AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT
• 影响因子: 6.6
• 作者: Hutchinson, Louise A.;Oliver, Tom H.;Garratt, Michael P. D.
• 通讯作者: Garratt, Michael P. D.

Pollinator monitoring more than pays for itself

• DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.13755
• 发表时间: 2020-10-07
• 期刊: JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY
• 影响因子: 5.7
• 作者: Breeze, Tom D.;Bailey, Alison P.;Carvell, Claire
• 通讯作者: Carvell, Claire

Inventorying and monitoring crop pollinating bees: Evaluating the effectiveness of common sampling methods

清查和监测农作物授粉蜜蜂：评估常见采样方法的有效性

• DOI: 10.1111/icad.12557
• 发表时间: 2021
• 期刊: Insect Conservation and Diversity
• 影响因子: 3.5
• 作者: Hutchinson L